Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-10-29
$70.48-0.56%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put AGO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Property & Casualty Insurance is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Increase EPS to at least $9.08 in 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 11% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 21%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskAGO’s thesis rests on its below-peer P/B multiple and an earnings recovery, not revenue growth. Recent earnings are mixed: Q1 FY2026 beat, then Q2 FY2026 missed. AGO trades at 0.6× P/B versus peers’ 1.8× median and its own historical 0.7×. The desk says expectations look modest versus its view. The specific risk is weak cash backing for reported profits. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 34%. The annual 2026 EPS pillar comparison needs review, so its status is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 37% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. AGO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering AGO (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare AGO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Property & Casualty Insurance — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AGO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Strong new business momentum supports revenue guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.