Reading SYPR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SYPR free→Reading SYPR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SYPR free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with SYPR trading below typical for its peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 38% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The top factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact SYPR's performance. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.52. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $2.52 SYPR trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $4.07 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 38% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -5%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.79x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=483).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$385.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$737.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,971.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report shows retail sales trends. It can signal demand changes for Sypris' products.
Confirms one read:Retail sales go up each month. This shows stronger demand from consumers.
Confirms the other:Retail sales go down each month. This suggests weaker demand from consumers.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SYPR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 19, 2026, Sypris Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the first quarter ended April 5, 2026. The full text of the press release is set forth in Exhibit 99 hereto. The information in this Form 8-K and the attached Exhibit is being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 “Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or o…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Automotive Parts & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SYPR Sypris Solutions Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 10 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
BWA BorgWarner | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 51 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
APTV Aptiv | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AUR Aurora Innovation Inc | — | — | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management expects the challenging operating environment to improve as 2026 progresses.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite management's expectation for improvement, revenue declined from $30.28M in 2025-Q4 to $25.81M in 2026-Q1, and net income turned negative at -$4.13M. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
“We expect the challenging operating environment to improve as we move through 2026.”
“We expect the challenging operating environment to improve as we move through 2026.”
Management anticipates a decline in revenue due to inventory drawdowns and shipment conversions.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue declined from $30.28M in 2025-Q4 to $25.81M in 2026-Q1, confirming management's anticipation of revenue challenges. The trajectory shows declining revenue, aligning with management's expectations.
Sypris Solutions is managing its financial obligations through amended agreements.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company has taken steps to manage its financial obligations by amending and restating its promissory note. However, financials show a net income decline to -$4.13M in 2026-Q1, indicating financial strain. Limited progress in improving financial health.
“Amended and restated its Amended and Restated Promissory Note.”
Why it matters: The FOMC's choice on interest rates affects borrowing costs. This impacts spending and Sypris' sales.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises rates. This shows confidence in the economy and may increase demand.
Confirms the other:FOMC lowers rates or keeps them the same. This signals worries about the economy that could hurt demand.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects overall economic health. Strong growth can boost demand for Sypris' products.
Confirms one read:GDP growth is above 2%. This shows a healthy economy.
Confirms the other:GDP growth is below 1%. This suggests the economy is weak.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 26, 2026, Sypris Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release is set forth in Exhibit 99 hereto. The information in this Form 8-K and the attached Exhibit is being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 “Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange…
Entry Into a Material Agreement. Amended and Restated Promissory Note On January 12, 2026, Sypris Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) and certain of its subsidiaries amended and restated its Amended and Restated Promissory Note dated March 21, 2025 (the “March 2025 Promissory Note”) in favor of Gill Family Capital Management, Inc., an entity controlled by the Company’s president and chief executive officer, Jeffrey T. Gill and one of its directors, R. Scott Gill (the “January 2026 Promissory Note…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure contained in
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 12, 2025, Sypris Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 28, 2025. The full text of the press release is set forth in Exhibit 99 hereto. The Company has also released certain supplemental financial information that can be accessed through the Company’s website at http://www.sypris.com . The information in this Form 8-K and the attached Exhibit is being furnished pursuant to…
“We anticipate a decline in revenue due to inventory drawdowns and shipment conversions.”
“We anticipate a modest decline in revenue due to shipment conversions.”