Reading ST? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ST free→Reading ST? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ST free→NYSEIndustrialsScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, while earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, and risk is moderate. The sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact performance compared to sector peers, where ST trades at a typical level. Peer multiples imply a price about 56% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $50.24. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $51 ST trades at 15× p/e, below its 33× p/e peer median. Our $95 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $37–$60. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 46% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 12.88x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.93 → $0.93 (+0.1% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 46% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 11.0% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 2 guided quarters · 3.6% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$163.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$333.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,456.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Falling below this range could mean weaker demand. This may hurt investor confidence.
Confirms:Q2 revenue guidance below $950 million would show demand problems.
Disproves:Q2 revenue guidance above $980 million would show strong demand.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ST yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events. On June 1, 2026, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (“Sensata”) and its indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries Sensata Technologies B.V. (“STBV”) and Sensata Technologies, Inc. (“STI” and, together with STBV, the “Offerors”), announced the early tender results for the previously announced tender offers (the “Tender Offers”) to purchase for cash up to $350,000,000 in total cash consideration payable, excluding applicable accrued and unpaid interest, for, in the case of STBV, 4.000% Se…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$37.00 – $60.00 (median $48.00) · 14 analysts · as of 2026-06-02
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electrical Components & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ST Sensata Technologies | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 59 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
ETN Eaton Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | full | moderate |
VRT Vertiv | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EMR Emerson Electric | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BE Bloom Energy Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 43 of 100 | expensive | high |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Sensata aims to enhance cash flow generation to support strategic initiatives and shareholder returns.
Sensata is actively managing its debt through strategic tender offers to optimize its capital structure.
Sensata is committed to enhancing operating income through operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income means better efficiency. It also means more profit.
Confirms:Operating income in Q2 increases year over year to above $145M.
Disproves:Operating income in Q2 is below $140M. This shows no growth or a decline.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating guidance shows growth. It also shows good management strategies.
Confirms:Q2 revenue reported at or above $980 million.
Disproves:Q2 revenue reported below $950 million.
Why it matters: A drop below this level could mean lower profits. It may also show operational issues.
Confirms:Adjusted EPS below $0.89 would show worse earnings.
Disproves:Adjusted EPS above $0.95 would indicate strong earnings growth.
Why it matters: Faster growth in the industrial sector could help Sensata do better.
Confirms one read:Sector revenue growth returns to above 10% year over year.
Confirms the other:Sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow supports strategic initiatives and shows financial health. It is key for growth.
Confirms:Cash from operating activities in Q2 exceeds $130M, showing strong cash flow growth.
Disproves:Cash from operating activities in Q2 is under $120M. This shows cash flow problems.
Why it matters: A drop could mean operational problems. This may reduce cash for growth.
Confirms:Free cash flow conversion below 80% would show cash issues.
Disproves:Free cash flow conversion above 83% would show strong cash generation.
Why it matters: News about debt management can change financial stability. It can also affect investor trust.
Confirms one read:Good news on debt management or successful tender offers would show strong financial health.
Confirms the other:Bad news or failure to execute tender offers would raise worries about financial health.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow is crucial for funding operations and debt management. It reflects financial health.
Confirms:Free cash flow reported above $100 million in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Free cash flow reported below $80 million in Q2 2026.
Other Events. On May 15, 2026, the Company announced that its indirect, wholly owned subsidiaries Sensata Technologies B.V. and Sensata Technologies, Inc. (collectively, the “Offerors”) had commenced cash tender offers (the “Tender Offers”) to purchase up to $350,000,000 in total cash consideration payable (excluding accrued and unpaid interest) for certain series of their outstanding senior notes. The Tender Offers are being made only pursuant to the terms and conditions set forth in the Off…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The Company will conduct a conference call on April 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM eastern time to discuss its first quarter 2026 financial results and its outlook for the second quarter of 2026. The…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 19, 2026, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The Company will conduct a conference call on February 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM eastern time to discuss its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results and its outl…
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On September 24, 2025, Sensata Technologies, Inc. (the “Borrower”) and certain other indirect, wholly-owned subsidiaries of Sensata Technologies Holding plc, including Sensata Technologies Intermediate Holding B.V. (the “Parent”) and Sensata Technologies B.V. (“STBV”), entered into an amendment (the “Credit Facility Amendment”) to (i) the Credit Agreement, dated as of May 12, 2011 (as amended, supplemented, waived, or otherwise modified prior to the…