Reading VICR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VICR free→Reading VICR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VICR free→NASDAQIndustrialsElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, VICR is typical in valuation. Peer multiples imply a price about 214% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $322.41. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $322, VICR's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 36× p/s (9.6× the 4× p/s peer median, and 3.8× even its own history). At a normal multiple the price implies ~214% near-term growth vs our ~22% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $103 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 214% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 22%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.84x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
Not enough signal yet.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.51 → $0.61 (+18.2% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 5.1% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$351.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$749.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,201.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth signals demand strength and business expansion.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth exceeds 20% YoY from $113 million in Q1 2026.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth is below 15% YoY.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VICR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 21, 2026, Vicor Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the Exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and Exchange Act o…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electrical Components & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VICR Vicor Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
ETN Eaton Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | full | moderate |
VRT Vertiv | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EMR Emerson Electric | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BE Bloom Energy Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on driving revenue growth across high-performance compute and other sectors.
Continue efforts to enhance gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.
Aim to enhance operating income through strategic initiatives and cost management.
Why it matters: A strong backlog shows more demand. This can lead to more money for Vicor.
Confirms:Backlog grows more than 70% sequentially from $177 million in Q4 2025.
Disproves:Backlog growth is less than 50% sequentially.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost control. This can lead to more profits.
Confirms:Gross profit margins exceed 55% in the next earnings report.
Disproves:Gross profit margins fall below 50%.
Why it matters: Better operating income means better cost management. This helps with long-term growth.
Confirms:Operating income is better than last quarter.
Disproves:Operating income is the same or lower than last quarter.
Why it matters: A strong operating income shows good cost management. This could bring in more investors.
Confirms:Operating income exceeds $20M in Q2.
Disproves:Operating income stays below $10M in Q2.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for making money in the long run.
Confirms one read:Operating income is better than the current $16.9 million.
Confirms the other:Operating income goes down or stays the same.
Why it matters: A decline in gross margin could signal rising costs or pricing pressures.
Confirms:Gross margin falls below 55% from the current 55.2%.
Disproves:Gross margin remains above 55% or improves.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 19, 2026, Vicor Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the Exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities an…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 21, 2025, Vicor Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The full text of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the Exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for any purpose, including for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and…