Rockwell Automation (ROK)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-30
$436.20-3.37%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put ROK beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electrical Components & Equipment is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS guidance for fiscal 2026 at least $11.88 per share: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 11% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 19% growth a year, above the roughly 7% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskROK’s case rests on growing revenue through automation expansion, with India supporting growth and margin goals. Revenue growth slowed from 12% to 8% year over year; Q3 FY2026 EPS beat consensus. ROK trades at 35× P/E versus a 36× peer median and its 34× historical multiple. The market prices in more growth than our forecast, so the premium needs earnings support. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 20%. The fiscal 2026 EPS guidance pillar needs verified mapping, so its status remains uncertain. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. ROK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering ROK (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ROK in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROK Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electrical Components & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put ROK next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth and expand margins
Expansion in India supports revenue growth and margin expansion.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $436.20
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $436.20.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow recurring revenue and ARR
New AI suite enhances recurring revenue potential.
Advances: Grow recurring revenue and ARR
AI optionality supports recurring revenue growth.
Advances: Achieve revenue growth and expand margins
Durable margin expansion supports revenue growth and margin objectives.
Threatens: Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026
EPS guidance raise raises concerns about growth sustainability.
Advances: Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026
Raised EPS guidance supports growth objectives.
Threatens: Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026
Guidance suggests limited growth potential for EPS.
Threatens: Achieve revenue growth
Earnings beat but shares drop indicates market concerns.