NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — EPS guidance for fiscal 2026 at least $11.88 per share: FY26 EPS guidance mid $12.87 vs $11.88 target.
Rockwell Automation grows earnings with raised EPS guidance to $12.18 in 2026. Sales are strong with $8.9 billion revenue guidance. Dividends rose from $1.25 to $1.38 per share. The company beats earnings and revenue estimates consistently.
Revenue growth may slow below 6% as sector faces headwinds. Profit margins could shrink if costs rise. The stock trades expensive with a PE near 39.
The price is about 25% above our fair value near $382. Analysts expect 6% revenue growth, which is priced in. Our fair value is below the Street median, so the market is stretched.
Breaks if: Dividend per share falls below $1.38 in 2026-Q1
Management is committed to maintaining a steady growth in dividends.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a stable growth opportunity with a focus on earnings per share (EPS) guidance and margin expansion. The current thesis state is cautious, reflecting recent performance that has slipped but remains above industry averages.
The valuation is considered expensive compared to peers, with the market pricing in a modest expectations gap. Investors seem to expect continued strong performance, but there is a risk of disappointment if guidance is cut.
Fundamentals are likely to remain stable, supported by management's focus on increasing EPS and expanding margins. However, there is a moderate risk of missing expectations, given the company's recent history.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers and ROK's ability to maintain its upward guidance. Any negative shifts in sector performance could impact ROK's momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports the thesis. The company achieved revenue growth, which is a positive sign. There are no new threats to the thesis.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: EPS guidance falls below $11.88 for FY26
Continue to raise fiscal 2026 diluted and adjusted EPS guidance reflecting strong execution and margin expansion.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Fiscal 2026 diluted EPS guidance was raised from $10.75 - $11.55 in 2026-Q1 to $12.72 - $13.02 in 2026-Q2, and Adjusted EPS guidance from $11.40 - $12.20 to $13.00 - $13.30. Management consistently updated EPS guidance upward reflecting strong execution and margin expansion, delivering on this priority.
“Updates fiscal 2026 diluted EPS guidance range to $11.88 - $12.48 and Adjusted EPS guidance range to $12.50 - $13.10.”
“Updates fiscal 2026 diluted EPS guidance range to $10.75 - $11.55 and Adjusted EPS guidance range to $11.40 - $12.20.”
“Fiscal 2026 guidance: Diluted EPS $10.40 - $11.40; Adjusted EPS $11.20 - $12.20.”
“Updates fiscal 2025 diluted EPS guidance range to $8.89 - $9.29; updates Adjusted EPS guidance range to $9.80 - $10.20.”
Breaks if: Revenue guidance falls below $8.9 billion for FY26
In the next 1 to 3 years, ROK's trajectory will depend on management execution and external sector conditions. Not investment advice.
