Reading SLND? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SLND free→Reading SLND? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SLND free→AMEXIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with SLND compared to sector peers being below typical. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.98. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.37x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.34 → $-0.42 (-25.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$480.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$985.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,559.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Southland's business. A stronger sector can lead to more opportunities.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SLND yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026, Southland Holdings, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Additional information is included in the Company’s press release. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The foregoing description of the press release is qualified in its entirety by reference to the attached exhibit.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Construction & Engineering.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 15 of 100 | — | high |
PWR Quanta Services | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 49 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FIX Comfort Systems USA | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EME Emcor | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | full | moderate |
MTZ MasTec | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Form a strategic partnership with Clark/Lewis to resolve claims and enhance collaboration.
Secure credit agreements to advance surety funds for bonded construction contracts.
Focus on addressing the earnings miss and improving financial performance.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 27, 2026, American Bridge Company (“American Bridge”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Southland Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into a Settlement Agreement and Release of Claims (the “Settlement Agreement”) with Clark/Lewis, a Joint Venture (“Clark/Lewis”), certain sureties of American Bridge (the “Sureties”), the Washington State Convention Center (“WSCC”), and American Bridge’s litigation counsel. The Settlement Agreement resolves d…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 26, 2026, Southland Holdings, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. Additional information is included in the Company’s press release. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The foregoing description of the press release is qualified in its entirety by reference to the attached exhibit.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. As previously reported, Southland Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries (the “Company”) are parties to a term loan and security agreement dated as of September 30, 2024 (as amended, the “Credit Agreement”). On March 17, 2026, the Company entered into an assignment and assumption (the “Assignment and Assumption Agreement”) with Callodine Commercial Finance, LLC (the “Resigning Agent”), solely in its capacity as “Agent” under the Credit Agreement, lende…
Other Events. In its industry, Southland Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) is generally required to provide surety performance and payment bonds guaranteeing the Company’s completion of projects and guaranteeing payment to subcontractors and suppliers. Markel Insurance Company (“Markel”), a surety provider of the Company, has agreed to advance funds (“Surety Funds”) under a general indemnity agreement (“GIA”) for the payment of bonded construction contract obligations and for the continued progr…