Reading PRTS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PRTS free→Reading PRTS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PRTS free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto PartsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it is priced below typical for the sector. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If PRTS cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $6.82. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $6.56 PRTS trades at 1× p/s, in line with its 1× p/s peer median. Our $5.94 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 10% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about -4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.87x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to Fed net liquidity, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.70 → $-0.09 (+87.9% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$225.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$729.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,598.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions change interest rates. This can affect consumer spending and CarParts.com.
Confirms one read:FOMC raised interest rates. This may slow down consumer spending.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps or lowers interest rates. This helps support consumer spending.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Improve cash from operations
Improves cash flow and supports operational objectives.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Director — Tim Nauss: Appointment of Tim Nauss as a new Class II director.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Automotive Parts & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PRTS CarParts.com Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 14 of 100 | full | high |
MOD Modine Manufacturing Co. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 52 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
BWA BorgWarner | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
APTV Aptiv | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AUR Aurora Innovation Inc | — | — | elevated |
15 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on generating attractive returns on invested capital to move towards profitability.
Enhance cash flow from operations to support financial stability.
Why it matters: Management wants to make a profit. This shows they may earn more in the future.
Confirms:Management has a clear plan. It includes steps to reach profitability.
Disproves:There are no updates or problems with the profitability plan.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows how much consumers are spending. This affects CarParts.com.
Confirms one read:Retail sales report shows an increase in consumer spending month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales report shows a decrease in consumer spending month over month.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, CarParts.com, Inc. (the “ Company ” ) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended April 4, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 11, 2026, CarParts.com, Inc. (the “Company”) entered in an Amendment No. 2 (the “Amendment”) to that certain Tax Benefits Preservation Plan, dated as of April 5, 2024, by and between the Company and Computershare Trust Company, N.A., as rights agent (as so amended, the “Plan”). Pursuant to the Amendment, the Final Expiration Date (as defined in the Plan) was accelerated from April 5, 2027 to May 12, 2026. As a result of the Amendment, effecti…
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders As previously disclosed, on May 11, 2026, at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders of CarParts.com, Inc. (the “Company”), the Company’s stockholders approved the implementation of a reverse stock split at a ratio of not less than 1‑for‑5 and not greater than 1‑for‑20 with such reverse stock split to be effected at such time and date, as determined by the Company’s board of directors in its sole discretion (the “Reverse Stock Split”) and a…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As described in