Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSnapshot 2026-10-30
$76.24+4.00%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put PARR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Energy is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 13% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 27% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskPARR’s case rests on strong recent performance and a sector tailwind, despite fragile cash backing. Its latest reported quarter beat earnings expectations, following a miss the prior quarter. It trades at 4.1× P/E versus a 21.5× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. The next-quarter miss probability is 21%, and weak cash backing makes reported profits less reliable. A sharp drop from its recent high may signal renewed concern about the thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 45% above where it trades. Our read remains intact; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. PARR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering PARR (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PARR in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare PARR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put PARR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Issue $500 million senior notes and optimize capital structure
Sale improves capital structure and supports financial objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $76.24
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $76.24.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Issue $500 million senior notes and optimize capital structure
Strengthens capital structure and supports growth objectives.
Advances: Issue $500 million senior notes and optimize capital structure
Asset sale improves capital structure and funding for objectives.
Advances: Improve net income
Upgrade indicates improved net income potential.
Threatens: Increase revenue
Concerns about market conditions affecting revenue.