Reading MHH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MHH free→Reading MHH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MHH free→AMEXIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality is robust, while risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 58% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile. Key factors to watch include the performance of sector bellwethers and any potential GDP growth slowdown. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $7.81. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $7.81 MHH trades at 10× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median. Our $18 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 58% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -14%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 6.41x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $0.13. 0 raised, 2 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$197.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$496.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,276.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could help Mastech Digital's performance. This would indicate a positive shift in the market.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for MHH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed filed for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Human Resource & Employment Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MHH Mastech Digital Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 29 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
ADP Automatic Data Processing | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PAYX Paychex | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PAYC Paycom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PCTY Paylocity | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company entered into a lease agreement for new office space in Dallas, Texas, commencing August 24, 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company has entered into a lease agreement for new office space in Dallas, Texas, with the lease commencing in August 2026. This indicates a strategic move towards expansion, but financial impacts are yet to be seen.
“Entered into a lease agreement for office space in Dallas, Texas, commencing August 24, 2026.”
The company is addressing the earnings miss reported in 2026-Q1.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company reported an earnings miss, with operating income falling from $1,007,000 in 2025-Q4 to $51,000 in 2026-Q1. This indicates a significant decline, and management's response to this miss will be critical in upcoming quarters.
“Reported an earnings miss in 2026-Q1.”
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Amendment to Mastech Digital, Inc. Stock Incentive Plan As further described in
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 30, 2026, Mastech Digital, Inc. (the "Company") and Nirav Patel, the Company's Chief Executive Officer and President, agreed to the payment of Mr. Patel's 2025 annual performance bonus in the form of restricted shares in lieu of cash payment. The terms regarding the issuance of these restricted shares are set forth in a Restricted Stock Ag…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 30, 2026, Mastech Digital, Inc. (the "Company") and Nirav Patel, the Company's Chief Executive Officer and President, agreed to the payment of Mr. Patel's 2025 annual performance bonus in the form of restricted shares in lieu of cash payment. The terms regarding the issuance of these restricted shares are set forth in a Restricted Stock Ag…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 5, 2026, Mastech Digital, Inc. (the "Company") entered into a Lease Agreement (the "Lease") with EPC-CW15, LLC (the "Landlord") for office space located at 3300 Olympus Boulevard, Suite 560, Dallas, Texas 75019 (the "Property). The initial term of the Lease will commence on August 24, 2026 (or later as specified in the Lease) and have an initial term of five (5) years, which begins after a five (5) month abatement period, unless earlier ter…