Reading KE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KE free→Reading KE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KE free→NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, while earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, KE trades above typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 60% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $25.63. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $26 KE trades at 18× p/e, below its 33× p/e peer median. Our $81 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 68% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -2%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 4.15x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.31 → $0.38 (+23.6% / 30d). 3 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$161.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$400.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,169.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Interest rate decisions can change how the sector performs. This affects Kimball's business.
Confirms one read:Sector performance improves after the FOMC meeting on June 17.
Confirms the other:The sector's performance dropped after the FOMC meeting on June 17.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information in this Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as shall otherwise be expressly set forth by specific reference in su…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electrical Components & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KE Kimball Electronics, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ETN Eaton Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | full | moderate |
VRT Vertiv | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EMR Emerson Electric | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BE Bloom Energy Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | high |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Kimball Electronics aims to maintain its capital expenditures within the $50-$60 million range for fiscal 2026.
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Kimball Electronics has consistently maintained its CAPEX guidance of $50-$60 million. This consistent guidance reflects a stable capital allocation strategy, with no significant changes in CAPEX spending trajectory.
“Capital expenditures of $50 - $60 million”
“the guidance for capital expenditures did not change with a range of $50 - $60 million”
“Capital expenditures are estimated to be $50 - $60 million”
“Capital expenditures of $50 - $60 million”
Kimball Electronics aims to achieve its revenue guidance of $1,400-$1,460 million for fiscal 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $341.28 million in 2026-Q2 to $352.92 million in 2026-Q3. The company is making progress towards its revenue guidance of $1,400-$1,460 million for fiscal 2026, indicating a positive growth trajectory.
Kimball Electronics aims to maintain its adjusted operating margin at the high end of the 4.2%-4.5% range for fiscal 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently aimed to maintain its adjusted operating margin at the high end of the 4.2%-4.5% range. This reflects a focus on cost management and operational efficiency, with limited progress in margin expansion so far.
“adjusted operating income is estimated to be 4.2% - 4.5% of net sales, with results expected at the high end of the range.”
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it shows Kimball Electronics is doing better in the market.
Confirms:Q3 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Q3 revenue growth stays below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows demand trends. These trends can impact Kimball's business.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase more than 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decrease or grow less than 0.5% month over month.
of this Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information in this Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as shall otherwise be expressly set forth by specific reference in su…
of this Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information in this Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as shall otherwise be expressly set forth by specific reference in su…
of this Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information in this Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as shall otherwise be expressly set forth by specific reference in su…
“we are affirming our guidance for fiscal 2026 with adjusted operating margin estimated to be at the high end of the range.”
“the Company increased its guidance for net sales... Net sales are now expected to be in the range of $1,400 - $1,460 million”
“the Company reiterated its guidance for fiscal year 2026 with net sales expected to be in the range of $1,350 - $1,450 million”
“Adjusted operating income is estimated to be 4.2% - 4.5% of net sales versus the prior estimate of 4.0% - 4.25%”
“adjusted operating income of 4.0% - 4.25% of net sales”