Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$84.99-7.21%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put HOOD beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Investment Banking & Brokerage is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Robinhood Gold subscribers grow steadily: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 21% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 25%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 56% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRobinhood’s product innovation must keep converting into durable revenue growth to support its premium valuation. Recent financial performance is strong, with Q3 revenue up 12% year over year. Q3 non-GAAP earnings beat consensus, though revenue growth was slower than Q2’s 32%. HOOD trades at 39× P/E versus the 17× peer median. Expectations look modest versus our view, leaving room for its growth case to justify that gap. Slower prediction-market activity and falling crypto revenue challenge the growth story. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. HOOD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 33 analysts currently covering HOOD (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 19 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HOOD in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare HOOD with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOOD Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Investment Banking & Brokerage — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put HOOD next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain expense discipline while funding growth
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $84.99
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $84.99.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
2026 OpEx target supports expense discipline while funding the planned 24/7 equity-trading expansion.
Earnings miss signals performance below expectations despite record trading volumes.
Lower profit from softer crypto activity pressures earnings, partially offset by robust trading.
Advances: Expand global financial ecosystem
Dubai expansion advances global reach, but a planned launch is incremental and execution remains uncertain.
Advances: Accelerate product velocity and innovation
Weekend trading enhances product offering and innovation.
New futures venue expands product offerings and attracts users.
Advances: Accelerate product velocity and innovation
New launches confirm product velocity and innovation progress.
Advances: Accelerate product velocity and innovation
Enhances product innovation and accelerates trading capabilities.
