Houlihan Lokey (HLI)
NYSEFinancialsInvestment - Banking & Investment ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
NYSEFinancialsInvestment - Banking & Investment ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put HLI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Investment Banking & Brokerage is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth of at least 15% next year: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 2% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskHLI depends on revenue growth across its business segments, despite fragile earnings quality. Recent revenue growth has been uneven, with Q1 FY2027 down 15% year over year. Q2 FY2027 non-GAAP EPS beat consensus by 17.1%. HLI trades at 21× P/E versus a 17× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, though the peer gap leaves a premium to earn. Private credit defaults could hinder growth, while the next-quarter miss probability is 25%. Revenue growth of at least 15% next year needs review because the comparison is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. HLI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering HLI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HLI in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Investment Banking & Brokerage — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put HLI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Enhance operating income and profitability
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $138.00
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $138.00.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Elevated tax expectations and restructuring extending into fiscal 2028 weigh on profitability.

Threatens: Focus on revenue growth across business segments
Rising defaults may hinder revenue growth across segments.

Threatens: Focus on revenue growth across business segments
Rising stress may hinder revenue growth across segments.

Threatens: Focus on revenue growth across business segments
Stock drop indicates market concerns about growth.
Advances: Focus on revenue growth across business segments
Leading by volume in M&A supports revenue growth.

Threatens: Focus on revenue growth across business segments
Sales below estimates indicate revenue growth challenges.
Threatens: Focus on revenue growth
Cautious expectations may hinder revenue growth.
