Circle Internet Group Inc (CRCL)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-10-15
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-10-15
Research Workspace
Put CRCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Investment Banking & Brokerage is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — total revenue growth: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 27%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 57% growth a year, above the roughly 25% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 65% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCRCL’s case rests on USDC adoption through bank payment infrastructure, not fast revenue growth. Revenue grew 7% year over year in Q2 FY2026, despite an earnings beat. The Volante collaboration connects USDC to existing bank payment infrastructure. CRCL trades at 45× P/E versus an 18× peer median, with expectations already looking full. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 30%. Management turnover and a broken revenue-growth pillar deepen the risk. Peer multiples imply a price about 43% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. CRCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering CRCL (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CRCL in the last 4 months.
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Compare CRCL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Investment Banking & Brokerage — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CRCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
CEO selling shares may raise concerns about confidence.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $82.22
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $82.22.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

CEO selling shares may raise concerns about confidence.

New partnership enhances USDC adoption and visibility.

CFO selling shares may raise concerns about confidence.

Advances: Expand USDC adoption and ecosystem partnerships
Targets significant growth in USDC adoption.

New stablecoin initiative may impact regulatory landscape.
Distribution deal enhances ecosystem partnerships.