Reading FLUX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FLUX free→Reading FLUX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FLUX free→NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it has a capital-unfriendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with FLUX trading below typical compared to sector peers. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.87. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.90 FLUX trades at 0× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $8.27 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 89% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -17%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.15x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.09. 1 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$312.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,151.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,730.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Important macro events can affect market conditions. They may also change how investors feel about Flux Power.
Confirms one read:Retail sales report shows growth above 1% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales report shows a decline or growth below 0%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FLUX yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Committed Equity Facility On May 15, 2026, Flux Power Holdings, Inc., a Nevada corporation (the “Company”) entered into a common stock purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) and a related registration rights agreement, dated as of May 15, 2026 (the “Registration Rights Agreement”), with Roth Principal Investments, LLC (“Roth Principal Investments”). Upon the terms and subject to the satisfaction of the conditions contained in the Purchase Agr…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electrical Components & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FLUX Flux Power Holdings Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 8 of 100 | — | high |
ETN Eaton Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | full | moderate |
VRT Vertiv | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EMR Emerson Electric | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BE Bloom Energy Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | high |
17 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims for a 20% sequential revenue growth in the fourth quarter.
Management is focused on navigating tariff changes and dynamic customer order patterns.
Entered into a Material Definitive Agreement with Roth Principal Investments for a common stock purchase.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth picks up, it may benefit Flux Power's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, limited financial and operational information for its fiscal third quarter ended March 31, 2026 and provided certain forward-looking performance estimates. In addition, the Company will hold a conference call on May 7, 2026 to discuss such results. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form…
The Purchase Shares will be issued without registration under the Securities Act, in reliance on the exemptions provided by Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act as a transaction not involving a public offering and Rule 506 promulgated under the Securities Act as sales to accredited investors, and in reliance on similar exemptions under applicable state laws. This Current Report on Form 8-K shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities of the Compan…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, limited financial and operational information for its fiscal second quarter ended December 31, 2025 and provided certain forward-looking performance estimates. In addition, the Company will hold a conference call on February 12, 2026 to discuss such results. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 13, 2025, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, limited financial and operational information for its fiscal first quarter ended September 30, 2025 and provided certain forward-looking performance estimates. In addition, the Company will hold a conference call on November 13, 2025 to discuss such results. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this…