Reading ATLN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ATLN free→Reading ATLN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ATLN free→NASDAQIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, ATLN is below typical. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.53. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.16x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.17 → $-0.17 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$506.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,488.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,875.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth picks up, it may benefit Atlantic's performance.
Confirms:3-year revenue growth in the sector rises above 5%.
Disproves:Revenue growth is slowing down and is now below 5%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ATLN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Mathew Evelt Resignation and Termination On March 30, 2026, Mathew Evelt, the Company’s Chief Operating Officer, informed the Company that he is resigning his position immediately. Mr. Evelt alleged that his reasons for resigning resulted from the SPP default notices described in
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2024-Q2, 2024-Q3, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Human Resource & Employment Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ATLN Atlantic International Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 6 of 100 | — | high |
ADP Automatic Data Processing | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PAYX Paychex | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PAYC Paycom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PCTY Paylocity | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to reach $1 billion in revenue organically by the end of 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Circle8 generated approximately $780 million in revenue in 2025. Management aims to reach $1 billion organically in 2026. The trajectory is currently on track, but further financial data is needed to confirm progress.
“Circle8 generated approximately $780 million in revenue in 2025 and is on track to reach $1 billion organically in 2026.”
Management completed the acquisition of Circle8 to enhance growth and market position.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Atlantic completed the acquisition of Circle8 by issuing 12,516,070 shares of common stock. This strategic move aims to enhance growth and market position. The acquisition is completed, indicating delivery on this priority.
“Atlantic issued 12,516,070 shares of common stock for the Circle8 equity.”
Management is addressing financial obligations following default notices from SPP Credit Advisors.
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Management is addressing financial obligations following default notices from SPP Credit Advisors. The company has commenced a lawsuit to contest SPP's actions. Progress on resolving these obligations remains to be seen.
“SPP notified the Company of certain events of default under the Financing Agreement.”
Triggering Events That Accelerate or Increase a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement. SPP Lyneer Term Loan Default Notice By letter dated March 30, 2026, SPP Credit Advisors, LLC. (“SPP”) notified Atlantic International Corp. (the “Company”) and the Lyneer Subsidiaries that certain events of default have occurred and are continuing under Amended and Restated Loan Agreement dated as of April 29, 2025 (the "Financing Agreement"), by and among the L…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement On March 20, 2026, Atlantic International Corp (the “Company”) entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with an institutional investor (the “Purchaser”), whereby it agreed to sell to the Purchaser (the “Offering”), for an aggregate gross purchase price of $5,600,000: (i) an aggregate of 5,600 shares of a newly established series of preferred stock designated as “Series B 5% Co…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. The information contained in
above, has commenced a lawsuit to contest SPP’s actions. 1 SPP Bridge Loan Default Notice: Simultaneous with the default letter under the Financing Agreement as described above, SPP notified the Company of certain events of default under (a) the Credit Agreement, dated June 18, 2024, by and among Atlantic and SPP as Administrative Agent (the “Bridge Loan”) and (b) the Pledge and Security Agreement dated as of June 18, 2024 by and between Atlantic and SPP. Similar to the Financing Agreement de…