Reading YORW? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track YORW free→Reading YORW? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated WaterSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and the company has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact performance compared with sector peers, where it is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 27% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $29.84. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $30 YORW trades at 20× p/e, in line with its 19× p/e peer median. Our $24 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 27% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 9%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Utilities names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1203).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.38x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Utilities names rated fragile grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=832).
Most sensitive to the US dollar and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.41 → $0.40 (-2.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$79.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$217.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,393.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the utility sector.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 6% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 6% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for YORW yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, The York Water Company issued a press release announcing its first quarter 2026 financial results. The press release is being furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated herein by reference. This report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be incorporated by reference in an…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Water Utilities.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
YORW York Water Co. (The) | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 40 of 100 | full | moderate |
AWK American Water Works | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 51 of 100 | full | moderate |
WTRG Essential Utilities | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AWR American States Water Company | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CWT California Water Service Group | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 5 of 100 | full | moderate |
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Utilities names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
York Water plans to invest $38.1 million in 2026 for main extensions, software upgrades, and routine improvements.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. York Water plans to invest $38.1 million in 2026 for infrastructure upgrades. The financials show consistent revenue growth from $18.46M in 2025-Q1 to $20.07M in 2026-Q1, indicating the company is maintaining its financial health to support these investments. The trajectory is consistent with management's stated capital allocation priorities.
“The Company estimates it will invest an additional $38.1 million in 2026...”
“York Water anticipates investments for 2026 and 2027 of approximately $48 million...”
York Water is committed to ongoing routine improvements to its pipes, service lines, and other facilities.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. York Water continues to focus on routine improvements to its infrastructure. The company's operating income remained stable, with $6.35M in 2026-Q1 compared to $6.42M in 2025-Q4, suggesting effective management of operational costs while pursuing these improvements. The trajectory shows consistent operational focus.
“The Company will continue routine improvements to its pipes, service lines...”
York Water is upgrading its enterprise software system as part of its capital investment plan.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. York Water plans to upgrade its enterprise software system as part of its capital investment strategy. The company's net income was $4.81M in 2026-Q1, down from $5.17M in 2025-Q4, indicating some financial pressure but still supporting strategic investments. The trajectory is in early stages with limited progress visible.
“A continuing upgrade to the enterprise software system is planned.”
of this Current Report on Form 8-K. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. Neither the disclosures in this Current Report on Form 8-K nor the exhibits hereto shall constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the securities described herein and therein, nor shall there be any sale of such securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such an offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to regist…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 10, 2026, Ashley M. Grimm, Esq. resigned her position as Vice President of Human Resources and Secretary effective May 14, 2026. Ms. Grimm’s resignation was not the result of any disagreement relating to the Company’s policies, operations, or practices. THE YORK WATER COMPANY SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchan…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 3, 2026, The York Water Company issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and annual 2025 financial results. The press release is being furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated herein by reference. This report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be incorporated by r…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 9, 2026, George W. Hodges retired from the Board of Directors of The York Water Company pursuant to the Company's retirement policy. Mr. Hodges had been a director of the Company for over 25 years starting in June 2000. Mr. Hodges served as Chair of the Board from 2011 to 2021 and again from 2023 to 2025. On the date of his retirement,…
“York Water anticipates investments for routine improvements...”