Pure Cycle Corp. (PCYO)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-10-30
$10.70+1.04%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put PCYO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Utilities is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve EPS guidance range of $0.24 to $0.51 in FY 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 23% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 18% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskPCYO’s water assets must sustain revenue growth, despite fragile earnings quality and weak recent financial performance. Q3 FY2026 revenue grew 60% year over year, with reported EPS of $0.12. PCYO trades at 1.7× book value versus a 2.0× peer median. The price reflects modest expectations versus our growth view, but recent performance remains weak. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 40%. The FY2026 EPS guidance comparison needs review, so it does not confirm a missed target. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. PCYO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare PCYO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCYO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Water Utilities — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put PCYO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain revenue growth trajectory
Water assets are crucial for revenue growth trajectory.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
