Reading WEYS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track WEYS free→Reading WEYS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track WEYS free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFootwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality and management's track record are neutral. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, though WEYS trades above typical levels compared to its peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. The stock's performance hinges on guidance changes and sector trends, particularly the performance of major players in the Consumer Discretionary sector. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $36.22. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $36 WEYS trades at 15× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $41 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 11% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -7%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 70% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 2.14x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=3229).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, the US dollar, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$126.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$322.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,700.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report shows retail sales trends, which can impact Weyco's revenue outlook.
Confirms one read:Retail sales go up each month. This shows that consumers are spending more.
Confirms the other:Retail sales go down each month. This shows that consumers want less.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for WEYS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of Form 8-K: On May 5, 2026 Weyco Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of this press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Footwear.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
WEYS Weyco Group, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | fair | moderate |
DECK Deckers Brands | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CROX Crocs | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 92 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
WWW Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | fair | elevated |
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and liquidity to fund organic growth and strategic opportunities.
Emphasize organic growth as a key strategic priority.
Why it matters: Changes in interest rates can change how much people spend and borrow. This affects Weyco's sales.
Confirms one read:The FOMC raises interest rates. This shows a strong economy that may increase spending.
Confirms the other:The FOMC lowers interest rates. This shows economic weakness that may reduce consumer spending.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects how confident consumers feel. This can change how well Weyco does.
Confirms one read:GDP growth is revised up. This shows a stronger economy.
Confirms the other:GDP growth is revised down. This shows economic weakness.
of Form 8-K: On March 3, 2026 Weyco Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of this press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On January 1, 2026, Weyco Group, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into employment agreements with Thomas W. Florsheim, Jr., its Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and John W. Florsheim, its President, Chief Operating Officer and Assistant Secretary (collectively, the “Florsheims”) for three-year terms, ending December 31, 2028. The agreements are c…
of Form 8-K: On November 4, 2025 Weyco Group, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of this press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
Other Events. On November 4, 2025, the Board of Directors of Weyco Group, Inc. (the “Company”) declared a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share. The Company’s total cash outlay for this special dividend will be approximately $19 million. The dividend will be paid on January 9, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 17, 2025. A copy of the press release announcing the special one-time cash dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated here…