Reading VSTM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VSTM free→Reading VSTM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VSTM free→NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact performance compared to sector peers, where it is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 24% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening, as it is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $4.00. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.00 VSTM trades at 9× p/s, in line with its 9× p/s peer median. Our $5.16 fair value reflects that, low confidence. Analysts: $18–$19. Not investment advice.
(median $18.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-05-08
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 22% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Health Care names rated neutral grew net income 50% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3115).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.78x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Health Care names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=842).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.45 → $-0.45 (+1.8% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$270.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$719.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,639.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VSTM yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 4, 2026, Verastem, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting preliminary financial results for the quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated into this
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Biotechnology.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VSTM Verastem, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | fair | elevated |
ABBV AbbVie | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | fair | low |
AMGN Amgen | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
GILD Gilead Sciences | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 100 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Other Events Recent Developments Update on RAMP 203 Phase 1/2 Clinical Trial for Advanced KRAS G12C Mutant Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Following evaluation of interim data from the RAMP 203 clinical trial in advanced KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC the Company will discontinue the trial to focus resources on clinical development of VS-7375, an oral KRAS G12D (ON/OFF) inhibitor, in advanced NSCLC and other solid tumors. There will be no further enrollment in RAMP 203 and patients currently enrolled wil…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Departure of Chief Operating Officer As previously disclosed on December 15, 2025, as of December 19, 2025, Matthew Ros separated from Verastem, Inc. (the "Company") as its Chief Operating Officer. In connection with his separation, on December 19, 2025, the Company entered into a Separation Agreement (the “Separation Agreement”) with Mr. Ros. Under…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2025, Verastem, Inc. (the “Company”) reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Other Events Recent Developments Updated Data from VS-7375 Phase 1/2a Dose Escalation Trial of VS-7375 in Patients with KRAS G12D Mutant Solid Tumors The Company reported preliminary data from the first two dose levels in its ongoing Phase 1/2a clinical trial evaluating the safety and efficacy of VS-7375, an oral KRAS G12D (ON/OFF) inhibitor, in patients with previously-treated advanced KRAS G12D mutant solid tumors, including advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (“PDAC”) both as monothe…