Reading RVMD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RVMD free→Reading RVMD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RVMD free→NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and risk is moderate. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, RVMD is below typical. If RVMD cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative, as the Street tends to walk down estimates and the stock usually takes a leg lower. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $156.58. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Health Care names rated weak grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=2391).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.77x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Health Care names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=842).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-1.99 → $-2.03 (-2.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 14 cut, 18 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 95% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.7% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$142.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$367.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,495.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If healthcare sector growth speeds up, it could help Revolution Medicines. This could improve investor sentiment.
Confirms:Healthcare sector revenue growth is speeding up to 10% or more.
Disproves:Healthcare sector revenue growth keeps slowing down below 10%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RVMD yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Revolution Medicines, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K and the attached Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Se…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Biotechnology.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RVMD REVOLUTION Medicines Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 25 of 100 | — | moderate |
ABBV AbbVie | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | fair | low |
AMGN Amgen | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
GILD Gilead Sciences | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 100 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Maintain operating expenses within the updated guidance range of $1.7 to $1.8 billion for 2026.
Issued $500 million of 0.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2033 to strengthen capital structure.
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 17, 2026, Revolution Medicines, Inc. (the “Company”) issued $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its 0.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2033 (the “Notes”). The Notes were issued pursuant to, and are governed by, an indenture (the “Base Indenture”), dated as of April 17, 2026, between the Company and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as trustee (the “Trustee”), as supplemented by a First Supplemental Indenture (the “Supple…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure set forth in
Other Events. Equity Offering On April 14, 2026, Revolution Medicines, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Equity Underwriting Agreement”) with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, TD Securities (USA) LLC and Guggenheim Securities, LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the “Equity Underwriters”), to issue and sell 10,563,381 shares of the Company’s common stock, $0.0001 par value per share (“Common Stock”), at a public offering p…
Other Events. On April 13, 2026, Revolution Medicines, Inc. (the “Company”) shared topline results from its global, randomized, controlled Phase 3 RASolute 302 clinical trial evaluating daraxonrasib in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (“PDAC”) who had been previously treated. Daraxonrasib taken orally once daily demonstrated statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvements in progression-free survival (“PFS”) and overall survival (“OS”) compared with s…