Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$280.31+5.78%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-10-29
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Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve revenue growth near 4.5% in next 12 months: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 2% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 27% growth a year, above the roughly 6% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskVMC’s durable franchise must justify its premium through revenue growth near 4.5% over the next twelve months. Recent financial performance remains steady, with robust cash backing reported profits. Q1 revenue grew 7.0% year over year, but Q3 earnings missed consensus. VMC trades at 33× P/E versus a 17× peer median, with its own history at 34×. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 24%. The annual growth comparison needs review, so that pillar remains unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 27% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. VMC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering VMC (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for VMC in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Construction Materials — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put VMC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Legal dispute may impact operations and financial performance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $280.31
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $280.31.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Deliver Adjusted EBITDA of $2.4-$2.6 billion
Strong demand supports growth in adjusted EBITDA.
Advances: Deliver Adjusted EBITDA of $2.4-$2.6 billion
Sales beat indicates strong performance and growth potential.
Index removal may affect investor perception and costs.
Advances: Deliver Adjusted EBITDA of $2.4-$2.6 billion
Positive earnings review supports EBITDA growth.
Advances: Deliver Adjusted EBITDA of $2.4-$2.6 billion
Earnings review indicates strong performance.