Reading CRH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CRH free→Reading CRH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CRH free→NYSEMaterialsBuilding MaterialsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality is neutral, and risk is moderate, while the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. The outlook hinges on whether CRH cuts guidance on the next call or if sector bellwethers continue to beat earnings and guide higher. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $112.86. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $110 CRH trades at 20× p/e, below its 25× p/e peer median. Our $119 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 8% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1462).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.54x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1297).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $2.16 → $2.05 (-5.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 6 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 91% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$160.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$313.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,472.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows ongoing demand and good strategy execution.
Confirms:Q2 2026 total revenues increase more than 9% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 2026 total revenues grow less than 9% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CRH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 16, 2026, the Board of Directors (the ‘Board’) of CRH plc (the ‘Company’) increased the size of the Board from 12 to 13 members and appointed Mr. W. Anthony (Tony) Will to serve as a non-management Director of the Company, each effective as of July 1, 2026. Mr. Will will be compensated for his service as a member of the Board pursuant to th…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Construction Materials.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CRH CRH plc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VMC Vulcan Materials Company | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 47 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
MLM Martin Marietta Materials | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | full | moderate |
CX CEMEX SAB DE CV | — | — | moderate |
EXP Eagle Materials | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | full | moderate |
13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
CRH is focused on investing in acquisitions that enhance value and strengthen its market position.
CRH continues to reaffirm its financial guidance for 2026, indicating confidence in its growth trajectory.
CRH aims to maintain strong cash generation to support its strategic initiatives and shareholder returns.
Why it matters: Negative revenue growth would signal a shift in demand trends and impact future guidance.
Confirms:Q2 2026 total revenues decline year over year by more than 2%.
Disproves:Q2 2026 total revenues grow year over year or remain stable.
Why it matters: Reaffirming guidance shows they are confident in their financial results. This is true even with market problems.
Confirms:Management reaffirms FY 2026 net income guidance of $3.9bn to $4.1bn.
Disproves:Management cuts the FY 2026 net income guidance.
Why it matters: This deal could make CRH stronger in the water market.
Confirms:The acquisition of Axius Water closes successfully by the end of Q2 2026.
Disproves:The acquisition fails to close or faces significant delays beyond Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Staying within the guidance range shows CRH is handling costs and demand well.
Confirms one read:Q2 2026 net income falls within the $3.9bn to $4.1bn range.
Confirms the other:Q2 2026 net income falls below $3.5bn.
Why it matters: Big changes in debt can impact financial stability and future growth plans.
Confirms:Total debt increases by more than $1 billion due to acquisitions.
Disproves:Total debt remains stable or decreases.
Why it matters: Stable or lower debt levels show good cash management and financial health.
Confirms:Total debt remains at or below $18.5 billion in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Total debt increases above $19 billion in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in net debt will indicate CRH's financial health and ability to invest in growth.
Confirms one read:Net debt goes down or stays the same after purchases. This shows strong cash flow.
Confirms the other:Net debt rises above $15.8 billion. This shows financial trouble.
Why it matters: Higher net debt could indicate financial strain and impact future growth strategies.
Confirms:Net debt reported above $16 billion in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Net debt reported below $16 billion in Q2 2026.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 11, 2026, CRH public limited company (‘CRH’ or the ‘Company’) appointed Aylwyn Bryan as Chief Financial Officer, effective on May 12, 2026 (the ‘Effective Date’). Mr. Bryan succeeds Nancy Buese, who by mutual agreement, stepped down from her role as Chief Financial Officer of the Company on May 11, 2026, effective as of the same date. Ms. Bu…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, CRH plc (the ‘Company’) issued a press release announcing the financial results of the Company for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company will host an earnings conference call and webcast presentation to discuss its quarterly results on April 30, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. (EDT). Investors an…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 18, 2026, CRH plc (the ‘Company’) issued a press release announcing the financial results of the Company for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company will host an earnings conference call and webcast presentation to discuss its 2025 results on February 19, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. (EST). Investors a…
Other Events. On February 18, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the declaration of a quarterly dividend. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.