Smith-Midland Corp. (SMID)
NASDAQMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-15
$24.54+1.91%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put SMID beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Increase product sales in 2026 versus 2025: rev -10.7% vs >0%.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 2% over the past year.
View GrowthExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 44% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSMID's growth depends on increasing product sales in 2026 versus 2025. Revenue fell 10.7% year over year in Q2 FY2026, which raises concerns. It trades at 12× P/E versus a peer median of 17×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. The primary risk is a potential guidance cut on the next call. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% below where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis has broken.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. SMID is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare SMID with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMID Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Construction Materials — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SMID next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule
Non-compliance notice impacts regulatory compliance objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.