Reading UEC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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AMEXEnergyUraniumSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with UEC trading below typical compared to sector peers. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $11.66. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated weak grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=979).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.09x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=329).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.01 → $-0.01 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 89% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 87.5% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$315.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$802.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,323.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'cautious' to 'restrictive'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show financial health and progress.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows more revenue and fewer losses than before.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows continued losses and no revenue growth.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for UEC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the information set forth in Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by spec…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Coal & Consumable Fuels.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
UEC Uranium Energy Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | — | high |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | fair | elevated |
BTU Peabody Energy, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 24 of 100 | fair | elevated |
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 17 of 100 | expensive | high |
METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 40 of 100 | — | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing production rates with new header houses operational at Christensen Ranch and Burke Hollow.
Ensure new header houses at Christensen Ranch and Burke Hollow are operational for full quarter.
Why it matters: Higher production rates show progress in meeting growth goals.
Confirms:Production rates in Q4 exceed last quarter's rates by more than 10%.
Disproves:Production rates in Q4 do not increase or fall below last quarter's rates.
Why it matters: Starting header houses helps make the supply chain work better.
Confirms:New header houses are running and help production by the end of Q3.
Disproves:New header houses are not running after Q3.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the information set forth in Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by spec…
Regulation FD Disclosure On December 10, 2025, Uranium Energy Corp. (the “Company” or “UEC”) issued a news release to report that it has filed its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended October 31, 2025 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Quarterly Report, which includes the Company’s interim condensed consolidated financial statements, related notes thereto and management’s discussion and analysis, is available on the Company's website at www.uraniumenergy.com…
Regulation FD Disclosure On November 7, 2025, Uranium Energy Corp. (the “Company”) announced that it applauds the U.S. Government decision to add uranium in the U.S. Geological Survey’s (“USGS”) Final 2025 Critical Minerals List, as published in the Federal Register, recognizing its essential role in America’s energy and national security. Amir Adnani, President and CEO, stated: “We applaud the U.S. Government, particularly Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and the U.S. Geological Survey, for ta…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On October 3, 2025, Uranium Energy Corp. (the “ Company ”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “ Underwriting Agreement ”) with Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC (the “ Underwriter ”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to sell 15,500,000 shares of its common stock, $0.001 par value per share (each, a “ Share ”) at a price to the public of $13.15 per Share for gross proceeds of $203,825,000 (the “ Offering ”). The Offering closed on October 6, 2025.…