Peabody Energy, Inc. (BTU)
NYSEEnergyCoalSnapshot 2026-10-30
NYSEEnergyCoalSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put BTU beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Energy is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 47% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBTU’s case rests on coal-linked sales growth, despite weak recent financial performance and elevated risk. Revenue growth accelerated to 12.7% year over year in Q2 FY2026 from 4.0% in Q1. Q2 FY2026 earnings missed consensus. BTU trades at 0.7× sales versus the 1.6× peer median. The price reflects modest expectations versus our view. The risk is a next-quarter earnings miss: our model puts that probability at 64%. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. BTU is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 7 analysts currently covering BTU (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare BTU with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Coal & Consumable Fuels — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BTU next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
BMO's target raise indicates confidence in mine production progress.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.

Threatens: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
Lawsuit could hinder ramp-up of Centurion Mine production.

Threatens: Ramp up Centurion Mine to targeted production rates
Lawsuit may hinder Centurion Mine production ramp-up.

Securities class action could impact financial stability.
Class action may impact investor confidence and earnings outlook.
Lawsuit could impact financial stability and investor confidence.
Advances: Issue $225M Convertible Senior Notes
Debt maturity extension supports capital allocation objective.
Advances: Issue $225M Convertible Senior Notes
Convertible notes offering aligns with capital allocation.