Reading METC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track METC free→Reading METC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track METC free→NASDAQMaterialsCoking CoalSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed because the company was unprofitable over the past year. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with METC compared to sector peers being below typical. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $14.67. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated weak grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=1088).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.97x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
23 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.11 → $-0.24 (-126.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 4 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$375.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$957.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,580.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation rose by 37.3 points (from 32.7 to 70.0).
Composite insight rose by 10.9 points (from -15.4 to -4.5).
Signal changed from 'cautious' to 'mixed'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The materials sector is going down. Revenue growth might mean a recovery for Ramaco Resources.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth turns positive after being near -1 percent.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains negative or worsens.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for METC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Regulation FD Disclosure. On June 15, 2026, Ramaco Resources, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the dividend ratio of its previously declared stock dividend for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 relating to its Class B common shares to shareholders of record on June 12, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2023-Q3, 2024-Q1, 2024-Q2, 2024-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Coal & Consumable Fuels.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 40 of 100 | — | elevated |
UEC Uranium Energy Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | — | high |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | fair | elevated |
BTU Peabody Energy, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 24 of 100 | fair | elevated |
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 17 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company plans to maintain its capital expenditures between $85 million and $90 million for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has consistently guided for capital expenditures between $85 million and $90 million for 2026. However, the financials show a net income decline from -$9.46M in 2025-Q1 to -$18.32M in 2026-Q1, indicating financial strain. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
“Capital Expenditures (c) $ 85,000 - 90,000”
“The Company anticipates Company-wide maintenance and growth capital outlays in 2026 of between $85 and $90 million”
Ramaco anticipates managing its cash cost of sales to be in the range of $95 and $100 per ton for 2026.
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The company has set a target to manage cash cost of sales between $95 and $100 per ton for 2026. However, with operating income declining from $6.35M in 2024-Q4 to -$24.31M in 2026-Q1, achieving this target may be challenging. Recurring focus, narrow delivery so far.
“Ramaco anticipates 2026 cash cost of sales will be in the range of $95 and $100 per ton”
The company declared a stock dividend of $0.1369 per share of Class B common stock, payable in shares.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company declared a stock dividend of $0.1369 per share of Class B common stock. Despite this capital allocation, the financials show a net income decline from -$14.66M in 2025-Q4 to -$18.32M in 2026-Q1, indicating financial challenges. Persistent statement, limited substantive delivery this quarter.
“The Company announced that its board of directors approved and declared a stock dividend of $0.1369 per share of Class B common stock”
Why it matters: This report will show if the company can improve its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows revenue growth. This is better than the last quarter.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows continued revenue decline or losses.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 11, 2026, Ramaco Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial and operating results for the first quarter of 2026 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K under Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall n…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On May 11, 2026, as disclosed in the Earnings Release, the Company announced that its board of directors approved and declared a stock dividend of $0.1369 per share of Class B common stock payable in shares of the Company’s Class B common stock on June 26, 2026 (the “Payment Date”), to shareholders of record as of the close of Nasdaq on June 12, 2026 (the “Record Date”). The dividend will be paid in Class B common stock and the amount of shares to be issued per sha…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On March 16, 2026, Ramaco Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the dividend ratio of its previously declared stock dividend for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 relating to its Class B common shares to shareholders of record on March 13, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. None of the information furnishe…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 25, 2026, Ramaco Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. None of the information furnished in this