NASDAQMaterialsCoking CoalSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (3q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain CAPEX between $85M and $90M for 2026: CAPEX $85M-$90M vs target $85M-$90M.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 17% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 83% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMETC's growth depends on maintaining CAPEX between $85 million and $90 million for 2026. Recent financial performance has been weak, with a significant miss of 50% last quarter. It trades at 0.0 times price-to-sales, below the peer median of 1.5 times. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. If METC cuts guidance on the next call, it could face further pressure. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. METC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 8 analysts currently covering METC (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for METC in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Coal & Consumable Fuels — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Supply agreement supports growth strategy and revenue potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $9.17
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $9.17.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Predicted decline in fair value raises concerns about valuation.
