Timken (TKR)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$110.90-3.42%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put TKR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS meets or exceeds $5.0 in 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 5% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTimken’s bet centers on steady industrial earnings supported by disciplined capital allocation and margin expansion. Revenue growth eased from 8.0% to 7.5%, though Q2 FY2026 non-GAAP EPS beat consensus by 12.3%. TKR trades at 19× P/E versus a 24× peer median and its 20× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, making the peer gap relevant. A 22% next-quarter miss probability and the thesis’s unverified EPS comparison threaten confidence. The multiple must be earned, while peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TKR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering TKR (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TKR in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare TKR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TKR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Capital allocation discipline including share repurchase
Sale enhances capital allocation discipline and focus.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $110.90
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $110.90.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Capital allocation discipline including share repurchase
Acquisition completion confirms strategic divestiture for capital allocation.
Threatens: Deliver strong operational and financial results
Profit plunge raises concerns about financial results.
Advances: Accelerate profitable growth and margin expansion
Focus on margin plan supports growth and margin expansion.
Advances: Accelerate profitable growth and margin expansion
Margin push aligns with growth and margin expansion goals.
Victory in legal case enhances brand protection and growth potential.
Threatens: Executive leadership transitions and retention
Leadership reshaping may impact execution and retention.
Advances: Deliver strong operational and financial results
Strong operational and financial results were reported.