NYSEIndustrialsMetal FabricationSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components: fringe margins under pressure (4q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating income at least $700M in FY26: operating income $700M vs $700M target; FY26 guidance low at $850M, but trajectory unclear..
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 64% growth a year, above the roughly 13% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 2% a day.
View RiskCarpenter Technology (CRS) must maintain its revenue growth to justify its current price. Revenue grew 37% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 47× P/E versus a peer median of 26×. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast. A risk is that CRS may cut guidance on the next call, which could lower estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 65% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. CRS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 9 analysts currently covering CRS (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CRS in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Leadership change may disrupt strategic initiatives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $519.66
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $519.66.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
CEO's sudden death creates uncertainty in leadership and strategy.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Sales gains indicate strong revenue growth ahead.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Record results and higher earnings outlook support revenue growth.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Aerospace demand recovery directly supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Enhance operating income
Record earnings directly enhance operating income.
Advances: Enhance operating income
Earnings estimates raise operating profit view significantly.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Top earnings and revenues indicate strong revenue growth.
