Reading TGEN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TGEN free→Reading TGEN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TGEN free→
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with TGEN trading below typical compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If TGEN cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $5.67. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $5.67 TGEN trades at 6× p/s — 1.5× the 4× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $3.74 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 52% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 14%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.22x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.08 → $-0.08 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$407.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,000.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,343.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'expensive'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Tecogen's performance. This is key for the overall industry.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth speeds up to over 5% each year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down to under 5% each year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TGEN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
and Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Section 7.01 - Regulation FD Disclosure
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electrical Components & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TGEN Tecogen Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 24 of 100 | expensive | high |
ETN Eaton Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | full | moderate |
VRT Vertiv | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EMR Emerson Electric | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BE Bloom Energy Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | high |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to secure more than $8 million in new orders by the end of the next quarter.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management aims to secure more than $8 million in new orders by the end of the next quarter. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $6.34 million, showing a need for growth to meet this target. The trajectory is uncertain as this is a new priority.
“we have recently secured or expect to secure more than $8 million in orders.”
Focus on improving gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Gross profit increased from $1.96M in 2025-Q4 to $2.59M in 2026-Q1, indicating progress in improving margins. The trajectory shows some delivery on this priority.
Management aims to achieve positive cash flow from operations through cost management.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operations was -$3.11M in 2026-Q1, showing limited progress towards achieving positive cash flow. The trajectory remains challenging as cash flow remains negative.
and Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Section 7.01 - Regulation FD Disclosure
and Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Section 7.01 - Regulation FD Disclosure
and Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. Section 7.01 - Regulation FD Disclosure
Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers. Appointment of Chief Financial Officer On July 24, 2025, the Board of Directors of Tecogen Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Company”) , determined to separate the role of Chief Executive Officer of the Company from the roles of Chief Financial Officer (“CFO”) and Treasurer, all of which executive positions have previously been held by Dr. Abinand Rangesh. In connection with such determination…
“Management emphasized improving gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.”
“Focus on improving gross profit margins.”
“Management aims to achieve positive cash flow from operations through cost management.”
“Focus on achieving positive cash flow from operations.”
“Efforts to reach positive cash flow from operations continue.”