Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$103.61+3.23%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-10-29
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Put SWK beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS reaches at least $4.9 in 2026: Diluted EPS: $2.33 per share.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskStanley Black & Decker’s claim rests on profitable organic growth and margin expansion as DEWALT gains share. Revenue growth improved from a decline to 3%, with Q2 FY2026 earnings beating consensus. SWK trades at 19× P/E versus a 24× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, leaving modest expectations. The primary pillar is under pressure: 2026 diluted EPS is $2.33 against a $4.9 threshold. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 19%. Peer multiples imply a price about 11% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. SWK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering SWK (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SWK in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWK Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SWK next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Deliver profitable organic growth and margin expansion
Margin gains from DEWALT support organic growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $103.61
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $103.61.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Reduce debt and strengthen balance sheet via divestitures and cash flow
Divestiture of Excel Industries aids debt reduction efforts.
Advances: Reduce debt and strengthen balance sheet via divestitures and cash flow
Divestiture strengthens balance sheet and reduces debt.
Advances: Reduce debt and strengthen balance sheet via divestitures and cash flow
Divestiture strengthens balance sheet and capital allocation.
Threatens: Execute Global Cost Reduction Program targeting $2B savings
Factory closure and layoffs may hinder cost reduction goals.
Advances: Deliver profitable organic growth and margin expansion
Investment supports profitable organic growth and margin expansion.
Advances: Deliver profitable organic growth and margin expansion
Investment supports profitable organic growth and margin expansion.
Advances: Deliver profitable organic growth and margin expansion
Productivity gains and brand strength support margin expansion.