NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-08-31
Reading SWK? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Broken: Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
Stanley Black & Decker aims for $5.7 EPS in 2026. Free cash flow target is $700 million. The company beat EPS estimates recently. Valuation is cheap compared to peers.
Revenue growth is weak, with recent declines. Free cash flow progress is limited. Management has volatile execution and soft guidance.
Price is about 7% below our fair value near $97. Analysts expect about 1% revenue growth. We see risk in meeting cash flow and EPS targets.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $4.9 in FY26
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $500 million in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with a focus on improving profitability and cost management. However, the current thesis state is weakened due to recent financial performance dropping relative to its industry peers.
The market currently prices SWK as relatively cheap compared to its peers, with a slight expectations gap. This indicates that investors may not be fully accounting for potential risks or challenges ahead.
Management is on track with priorities like delivering organic growth and executing a cost reduction program. However, recent changes show a decline in company momentum, which could impact future performance.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like SNA, RBC, and LECO. Positive earnings and guidance from these companies could support SWK, while misses or lower guidance could pose risks.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. Recent financial performance fell from the top half to the bottom half of its industry. This change indicates a weakened reason to own the stock. Additionally, an insider sale by the Chief Accounting Officer raised concerns amid the stock's recent high.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Focus on increasing free cash flow to meet or exceed guidance targets.
Breaks if: Revenue growth falls below 0.6% YoY next year
In the next 1 to 3 years, SWK's performance will depend on its ability to navigate sector dynamics and execute on its strategic priorities. Not investment advice.
