Reading STRW? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track STRW free→Reading STRW? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track STRW free→AMEXReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact performance compared to sector peers that are above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 81% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $13.36. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 STRW trades at 21× p/e — 1.5× the 14× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $68 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $15–$16. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 80% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 20%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1968).
Over the trailing year it converted 10.71x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Real Estate names rated robust grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=1399).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Real Estate names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.17 → $0.16 (-1.5% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 71% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$102.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$324.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,216.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision can impact interest rates, affecting real estate investments. A rate hike could pressure REIT valuations.
Confirms one read:FOMC announces no change in interest rates.
Confirms the other:FOMC raises interest rates.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for STRW yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. On May 19, 2026, Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) completed an offering of units solely within Israel, pursuant to exemptions from registration contained in Regulation S (17 CFR Sections 230.901, et. seq.). The units consisted of par value NIS1,000 Bonds (Series C) and 16 Warrants (Series 1) and yielded gross proceeds of approximately $56 million. Neither the bonds nor the warrants will be listed for trading on any U.S. stock exchange or ma…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$15.00 – $16.00 (median $16.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-08
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Health Care REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
STRW Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
WELL Welltower | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 58 of 100 | expensive | low |
VTR Ventas | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 39 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
DOC Healthpeak Properties | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to declare and pay consistent cash dividends to shareholders.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Dividend declared increased from $0.16 to $0.17 per share, indicating a commitment to consistent payouts. The trajectory shows delivering on maintaining and slightly increasing dividends.
“On May 7, 2026, the Board declared a cash dividend of $0.17 per share.”
“On February 26, 2026, the Board declared a cash dividend of $0.16 per share.”
Continue strategic capital allocation by issuing debt to support operations.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company engaged in capital allocation through debt issuance, as evidenced by the amendment to the sales agreement in 2026-Q1. This indicates a recurring focus on leveraging debt for strategic purposes.
“On April 14, 2026, the Company entered into Amendment No. 2 to At Market Issuance Sales Agreement.”
Focus on increasing cash generated from operating activities to support financial health.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities decreased from $20.70 million in 2025-Q3 to $17.49 million in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress in increasing cash generation. The trajectory shows a decline, suggesting challenges in this area.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can indicate consumer spending trends. Strong sales may boost demand for real estate.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase by more than 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decline or grow less than 0.2% month over month.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the sector. This would support a stronger outlook for Strawberry Fields REIT.
Confirms:Revenue growth speeds up to over 7% compared to last year.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Other Events. On May 7, 2026, the Board of Directors of Strawberry Fields Realty, Inc. declared a cash dividend on its common stock (the “Common Stock”) in the amount of $0.17 per share (the “Dividend”). The Dividend will be payable in cash on June 30, 2026 to holders of record of the Common Stock as of June 16, 2026.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 14, 2026, Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) and its operating partnership, Strawberry Fields Realty LP, entered into Amendment No. 2 to At Market Issuance Sales Agreement (the “Amendment”) with B. Riley Securities, Inc., A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners and Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. The Amendment amends that certain At Market Issuance Sales Agreement dated July 11, 2024, and amended on June 4, 2025 (as amended, the “Agreement”) by a…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 19, 2026, the Company issued a press release regarding its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2025. The Company’s press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference herein.
Other Events. On February 26, 2026, the Board of Directors of Strawberry Fields Realty, Inc. declared a cash dividend on its common stock (the “Common Stock”) in the amount of $0.16 per share (the “Dividend”). The Dividend will be payable in cash on March 31, 2026 to holders of record of the Common Stock as of March 17, 2026.
“On December 19, 2025, the Company updated its risk factors related to debt issuance.”
“Cash from operating activities was $17.49 million.”
“Cash from operating activities was $20.56 million.”
“Cash from operating activities was $20.70 million.”