CareTrust REIT (CTRE)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-10-30
$36.39+0.36%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put CTRE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Real Estate is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 53% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 22%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHealthy across the board
CTRE’s growth case rests on expanding its care-home portfolio to increase revenue. Revenue grew 43% year over year in Q2 FY2026, after 47% in Q1; the latest quarter’s beat or miss is unavailable. Management raised 2026 guidance after announcing UK acquisitions, though the second tranche remains subject to approvals. CTRE trades at 18× P/FFO versus a 12× peer median; expectations look modest versus our growth view. Fragile cash backing for reported profits weakens confidence in that growth case. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 31%. Peer multiples imply a price about 29% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. CTRE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering CTRE (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CTRE in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare CTRE with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CTRE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Acquisition enhances revenue growth through new assets.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $36.39
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $36.39.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Significant investment indicates strong revenue growth potential.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Acquisition enhances revenue growth potential significantly.
Acquisition growth aligns with revenue growth objective.
Downgrade may impact investor sentiment and revenue growth.
Hiking guidance may indicate operational challenges.
Earnings call provides positive insights on growth.
Undervalued status supports revenue growth potential.