Reading SNES? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SNES free→Reading SNES? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SNES free→NASDAQMaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, SNES is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 220% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.65. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.65 SNES trades at 1× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $2.03 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 19% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 18%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated weak grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=1088).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.90x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
11 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.34 → $-0.36 (-7.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$276.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$745.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,699.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation fell by 14.3 points (from 19.0 to 4.7).
Valuation label changed from 'fair' to 'expensive'.
As of June 16, 2026, valuation fell. The valuation label changed from "fair" to "expensive.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth goes up, it could mean a recovery for Senestech.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth shows a positive change, moving above 0% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains negative or worsens further.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SNES yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026 , we announced our financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026 . A copy of our press release announcing these financial results and certain other information is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Specialty Chemicals.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SNES Senestech Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 9 of 100 | expensive | high |
SHW Sherwin-Williams | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | moderate |
ECL Ecolab | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
PPG PPG Industries | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | fair | moderate |
LYB LyondellBasell | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | — | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 6, 2026 (the “Commencement Date”), the Board of Directors (the “Board ” ) of SenesTech, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Michael Edell as the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer, succeeding Mr. Joel L. Fruendt, the current President and Chief Executive Officer of the Company. Mr. Edell, age 62, served as Interim Chief Operating Off…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2026 , we announced our financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 . A copy of our press release announcing these financial results and certain other information is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference . The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of t…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 22, 2026, Joel L. Fruendt, the President and Chief Executive Officer of SenesTech, Inc. (the “Company”), notified the Company that he will be retiring from the Company, including its Board of Directors (“Board”), effective upon the earlier of (i) June 30, 2026 and (ii) the date the Company appoints a successor Chief Executive Officer. In…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 22, 2026, Joel L. Fruendt, the President and Chief Executive Officer of SenesTech, Inc. (the “Company”), notified the Company that he will be retiring from the Company, including its Board of Directors (“Board”), effective upon the earlier of (i) June 30, 2026 and (ii) the date the Company appoints a successor Chief Executive Officer. In…