Reading PRM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PRM free→Reading PRM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PRM free→NYSEMaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but the capital stance is capital unfriendly. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with performance compared to sector peers being typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $36.48. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $36 PRM trades at 26× p/e, in line with its 21× p/e peer median. Our $29 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 27% near-term growth, ahead of our forecast of about 3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1462).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.66x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=272).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.44 → $0.44 (-1.5% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$161.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$331.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,020.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Better performance in the sector could help Perimeter Solutions. It may show a wider recovery.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth turns positive after being in a declining phase.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth continues to decline.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PRM yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Perimeter Solutions, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or incorpo…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Specialty Chemicals.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PRM Perimeter Solutions, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | full | elevated |
SHW Sherwin-Williams | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | moderate |
ECL Ecolab | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
PPG PPG Industries | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 90 of 100 | fair | moderate |
LYB LyondellBasell | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | — | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims for MMT to generate approximately $140 million in revenue for the full year 2025.
Focus on improving operating income as a key financial metric.
Management is focused on increasing gross profit as a measure of financial health.
Why it matters: Growth in revenue could help Perimeter Solutions. This might make investors more confident.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported as positive year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, Perimeter Solutions, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange…
Other Events. Stock Purchase Agreement As previously disclosed, on December 9, 2025, Perimeter Solutions North America, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Buyer”) and a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”), by and among the Buyer, the Company, Thunderbird Midco, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, and its subsidiaries (“MMT”), the equity holders of MMT (the “Sellers”), and certain other parties thereto pursuant…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. The Offering On January 2, 2026, Perimeter Holdings, LLC (“Perimeter Holdings”), an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Perimeter Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”), completed its previously announced offering of $550 million in aggregate principal amount of 6.250% senior secured notes due 2034 (the “Notes”) in transactions that were exempt from the registration requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The Notes we…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Amended and Restated Credit Agreement On December 19, 2025, Perimeter Intermediate, LLC (“Perimeter Intermediate”), as guarantor and a wholly owned direct subsidiary of Perimeter Solutions, Inc. (“Perimeter” or the “Company”), and Perimeter Holdings, LLC (“Perimeter Holdings”), as borrower and a wholly owned indirect subsidiary of the Company, and certain of Perimeter Holdings’ subsidiaries, as guarantors, entered into an amended and restated credit…