Reading SLNG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SLNG free→Reading SLNG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas IntegratedSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and risk is high, while management's recent track record has been steady and capital-friendly. Earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Peer multiples imply a price about 24% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. Key factors to watch include any potential cuts to guidance and the performance of sector bellwethers like XOM and CVX. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $4.10. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.68 SLNG trades at 1× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $5.71 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 24% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -27%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated weak grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=979).
Over the trailing year it converted -5.22x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Energy names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 45% for the rest of the cohort, n=249).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $0.01. 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 50% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$275.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$710.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,505.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it may signal a shift in the energy sector. This could help Stabilis Solutions.
Confirms:Revenue growth in the energy sector exceeds 3% year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth in the energy sector stays below 2% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SLNG yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, Stabilis Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing information regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The Company’s press release contains non-GAAP financial measures. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of a company’s performance, fi…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Energy (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SLNG Stabilis Solutions Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 9 of 100 | fair | high |
XOM ExxonMobil | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | full | moderate |
CVX Chevron Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | expensive | low |
SHEL SHELL PLC | — | — | low |
COP ConocoPhillips | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on leveraging strong demand for small-scale LNG and delivery solutions to improve results.
Focus on improving financial performance amidst recent earnings misses.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company is improving its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows smaller losses. It may also show profits again.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows bigger losses. There is no improvement in financial numbers.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Equity Distribution Agreement On April 17, 2026, Stabilis Solutions, Inc. (the “ Company ”), entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement (the “ Agreement ”) with Johnson Rice & Company L.L.C. (the “ Sales Agent ”). Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, the Company may sell from time to time through the Sales Agent shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share (“ Common Stock ”), with an aggregate sales price of up to $10,146,7…
Other Events. On March 31, 2026, Stabilis GDS, Inc., ("Stabilis GDS"), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Stabilis Solutions, Inc. (“Stabilis” and collectively with Stabilis GDS, “the Company”) terminated its previously announced 10-year agreement with a leading investment-grade global marine operator to supply Liquefied Natural Gas (“LNG”) from the Company’s proposed 350,000 gallon-per-day Galveston liquefaction facility. The agreement contemplated the supply of approximately 50 million gallons of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 4, 2026, Stabilis Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing information regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The Company’s press release contains non-GAAP financial measures. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of a company’s…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The information set forth under