NYSEEnergyOil & Gas E&pSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 1% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 21% growth a year, above the roughly 10% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskConocoPhillips needs to maintain and grow production levels to justify its price. Recent earnings showed a beat with an EPS of 1.89, which is positive. It trades at 20× P/E, above the peer median of 18×. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, making it look full. A specific risk is that management is behind on commitments, which could hurt performance. Peer multiples imply a price about 20% below where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. COP is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 26 analysts currently covering COP (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COP in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Acquisition enhances production levels significantly.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $120.48
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $120.48.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Acquisition enhances production levels significantly.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Partnership boosts production capabilities in established field.
Advances: Maintain and grow production levels
Investment in Iraq supports production growth objectives.
Threatens: Return 45% of cash from operations to shareholders
Lower commodity outlook may affect cash returns to shareholders.
Expected bullish Q2 print supports production and financial outlook.
Upgrade suggests positive outlook on company performance.
Advances: Maintain production guidance
New deal supports production growth and guidance.
