Reading SD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SD free→Reading SD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SD free→NYSEEnergyOil & Gas E&pSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, indicating that reported profits are not well supported by cash flow. Management's track record has been fairly steady, while risk is moderate and the sector backdrop presents a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 17% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening, as it is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. Key factors to watch include any guidance cuts from SD and the performance of sector bellwethers like COP, EOG, and OXY. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $14.21. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $14 SD trades at 8× p/e, below its 12× p/e peer median. Our $17 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 17% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1255).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.31x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated fragile grew net income 38% of the time over the next year (vs 44% for the rest of the cohort, n=602).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.32 → $0.75 (+134.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$153.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$388.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,990.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A pickup in revenue growth could signal a shift back to growth for the sector. This would help SandRidge's position in a mature market.
Confirms:3-year revenue growth rate increases above 2% year over year.
Disproves:3-year revenue growth rate remains at or below 2%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SD yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 6, 2026, SandRidge Energy, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial and operational results for the period ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SD SandRidge Energy, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 97 of 100 | fair | moderate |
COP ConocoPhillips | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
EOG EOG Resources | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 92 of 100 | full | moderate |
OXY Occidental Petroleum | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FANG Diamondback Energy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 58 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=329).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
SandRidge Energy aims to maintain its capital expenditure guidance between $76 million and $97 million for 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. SandRidge Energy has set its capital expenditure guidance for 2026 between $76 million and $97 million. This guidance reflects the company's commitment to disciplined capital allocation. As this is a newly stated priority, its delivery will be assessed in future quarters.
“Presented below is the Company’s operational and capital expenditure guidance for 2026: Total Capital Expenditures $76 - $97 Million.”
The Board increased its ongoing quarterly dividend program by 8% to $0.13 per share.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The Board increased its ongoing quarterly dividend program by 8% to $0.13 per share. This reflects a commitment to returning value to shareholders. As this is a new priority, future quarters will reveal its impact on shareholder returns.
“The Board increased its ongoing quarterly dividend program by 8% to $0.13 per share.”
SandRidge Energy emphasizes generating strong cash flow from operations to support its financial health.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. SandRidge Energy reported cash from operating activities of $19.76 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. This focus on operational cash flow generation is crucial for maintaining financial stability. As this is a new priority, its effectiveness will be evaluated in subsequent quarters.
Other Matters On May 5, 2026, the Board increased its on-going quarterly dividend program by 8% to $0.13 per share. In addition, the Board declared a one-time dividend of $0.20 per share. Both dividends are payable on June 1, 2026 to stockholders of record on May 20, 2026. Stockholders can elect to receive the dividends in cash or additional shares of common stock by enrolling in the Company’s previously announced Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 18, 2026, Randolph C. Read notified SandRidge Energy, Inc. (the “Company”) that he will not be available to stand for re-election to the Company’s Board of Directors at its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”) and that he will continue to serve as a director until the expiration of his term at the Annual Meeting. Mr.…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 4, 2026, SandRidge Energy, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial and operational results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Other Matters On March 3, 2026, the Board declared a dividend of $0.12 per share of the Company’s common stock, which stockholders can elect to receive in cash or additional shares of common stock by enrolling in our previously announced Dividend Reinvestment Plan, payable on March 31, 2026 to stockholders of record on March 20, 2026.
“Cash from operating activities was $19.76 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2026.”