Royal Gold (RGLD)
NASDAQMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-10-29
$236.83-2.12%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put RGLD beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 113% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 26%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 30% growth a year, above the roughly 14% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 38% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRGLD’s growth case rests on strong recent performance, though its Q2 revenue growth comes with an earnings miss. Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 114.9% year over year, while non-GAAP earnings missed by 2.3%. RGLD trades at 26× P/E versus a 17× peer median. The market is pricing more growth than our forecast, leaving expectations full. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 55%. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% below where it trades; our read remains intact, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. RGLD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering RGLD (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for RGLD in the last 4 months.
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Compare RGLD with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGLD Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Gold — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RGLD next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue and cash flow through portfolio growth
Doubling profits supports revenue and cash flow growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $236.83
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $236.83.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Enhance capital allocation flexibility
Analyst update indicates potential negative impact on capital allocation.
Advances: Increase revenue
Record revenues significantly support revenue growth objective.
Advances: Increase revenue
Strong financials and acquisitions align with revenue growth.
Advances: Increase revenue
Revenue growth reported supports management's growth objective.