Reading CTGO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CTGO free→Reading CTGO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CTGO free→AMEXMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year, and risk is high, compounded by a sector backdrop that is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 65% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile. If CTGO cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $17.12. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
We can't anchor a clean multiple for CTGO right now, so treat our $49 fair value as low-confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 65% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Crisis) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1462).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.88x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.07 → $0.12 (+71.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$302.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$766.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,480.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth may show that the materials sector is recovering. This could make investors feel better about Contango Silver & Gold.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth turns positive after being near -1% for three years.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains negative or worsens beyond -1%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CTGO yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information included herein and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor sh…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Gold.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CTGO Contango Silver & Gold, Inc. | — | inexpensive | high |
NEM Newmont | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 38 of 100 | fair | high |
RGLD Royal Gold | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | full | moderate |
AGI Alamos Gold Inc | — | — | elevated |
19 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Focus on acquiring 100% ownership of the Lucky Shot project in Alaska.
Maintain cash costs between $1,900 to $2,000 and all-in sustaining costs of $2,200 to $2,300 per ounce of gold sold.
Target $550M in free cash flow for 2026, assuming $4,000/oz gold price.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 4, 2026, Contango Lucky Shot Alaska, LLC (“LSA”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (“Contango” or the “Company”), entered into a purchase and sale agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) and executed a promissory note (the “Promissory Note”) with Alaska Hardrock Inc. (“AHI”) to acquire 100% ownership of the Company’s Lucky Shot project, located in the Willow Mining District about 75 miles north of Anchorage, Alaska (“Luck…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On May 13, 2026, the Company made available a new corporate presentation. A copy of this presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is available on the Company’s website at www.contangoore.com. The Company’s presentation furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this Current Report contains non-GAAP financial measures. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of a company’s performance, financial position, or cash flows…
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. To the extent required by
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. To the extent required by