NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-07-23
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Create your account →The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 49% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskHMY's growth depends on inflation and sector trends. If inflation rises, it could benefit HMY. Revenue growth is uncertain due to recent market shifts. HMY trades at a high multiple with a 63% chance of missing expectations. If sector leaders start missing earnings, HMY could face challenges. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (3q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-24. HMY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering HMY (as of Jul 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-07-24. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Gold — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Tragic accident raises safety concerns impacting operations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-24. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Earnings growth forecast supports positive outlook.
Proceeding with copper project aligns with growth strategy.
Acquisition diversifies into copper, enhancing growth potential.
Operational disruptions indicate potential production issues.
Profit increase due to high prices supports financial health.
