Reading RFIL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RFIL free→Reading RFIL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RFIL free→NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 15% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If RFIL cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $18.12. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $18 RFIL trades at 42× p/e — 1.3× the 33× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $16 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 15% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about 16%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 65.43x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.15 → $0.19 (+26.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
Market and fundamentals agree. Analysts are positioned bullishly on a fundamentally strong name.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$385.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$790.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,938.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit RF Industries. This would signal a better market environment.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is over 5% year over year. This shows a positive change.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is below 5%. This means it is still slowing down.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RFIL yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 15, 2026, RF Industries, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing information regarding the Company’s financial results for the second quarter ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electrical Components & Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RFIL RF Industries Ltd | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | full | high |
ETN Eaton Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | moderate |
VRT Vertiv | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
EMR Emerson Electric | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BE Bloom Energy Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 46 of 100 | expensive | high |
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 16, 2026, RF Industries, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing information regarding the Company’s financial results for the first quarter ended January 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 14, 2026, RF Industries, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing information regarding the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended October 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for t…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 5, 2025, RF Industries, Ltd. (the “Company”) entered into the Second Amendment to Loan and Security Agreement (the “EBC Second Amendment”), by and among the Company, the Company’s subsidiaries Cables Unlimited, Inc., Rel-Tech Electronics, Inc., C Enterprises, Inc., Schroff Technologies International, Inc., and Microlab/FXR LLC (collectively with the Company, the “Borrowers”), Eclipse Business Capital LLC, as agent (“EBC”), and the lender…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above under