Reading RELL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RELL free→Reading RELL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RELL free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, but earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind, with performance compared to sector peers being typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 92% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified, as it is rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. Key factors to watch include guidance changes from RELL and the performance of sector bellwethers like APH, GLW, and TEL. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $17.58. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $18 RELL trades at 59× p/e — 2.1× the 29× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $9.32 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 96% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=889): about 49% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 85% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated strong grew net income 73% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.35x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated fragile grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 65% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.10 → $0.10 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$267.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$531.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,549.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data affects how much people want Richardson's products. Strong sales mean better business.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase by more than 1% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decrease by more than 1% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RELL yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 8, 2026, Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the third quarter ended February 28, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RELL Richardson Electronics Ltd/United States | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 49 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 47 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 34 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | full | moderate |
Not enough signal yet.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing revenue through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Enhance operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Focus on maintaining positive net income through strategic financial management.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops below median, it signals a slowdown in the sector. This could hurt investor confidence in Richardson Electronics.
Confirms:July earnings report shows revenue growth below the sector median.
Disproves:July earnings report shows revenue growth above the sector median.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision can affect interest rates and market conditions. Changes may impact Richardson's cost of capital.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises interest rates by 25 basis points.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps interest rates unchanged or lowers them.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 7, 2026, Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the second quarter ended November 29, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 8, 2025, Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the first quarter ended August 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 23, 2025, Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the fourth quarter and year ended May 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporat…