Reading KOPN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KOPN free→Reading KOPN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KOPN free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, indicating that reported profits are not well supported by cash. Management's recent track record has been volatile, and risk is high, while the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 506% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact KOPN's performance. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $5.22. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $5.22, KOPN's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 505× p/s (137.9× the 4× p/s peer median). At a normal multiple the price implies ~506% near-term growth vs our ~13% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $0.86 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts: $5.00–$10. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 506% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 13%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=889): about 49% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 85% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -6.77x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated fragile grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 65% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.01 → $-0.01 (-50.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$470.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$884.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,573.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it may show a slowdown. This could hurt Kopin's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its historical median.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is still higher than its average from the past.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KOPN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events On October 16, 2025 Kopin Corporation (the “Company”) announced a $15 Million Strategic Investment from Theon International Plc (the Agreements). Under the terms of the Agreements, Theon acquired a 49% interest in Kopin’s subsidiary, Kopin Europe Ltd. for $8.0 million and the parties entered into a licensing and development agreement and funding agreements relating to the joint development of military products. In addition, Theon purchased $7.0 million of shares of Series A Conve…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$5.00 – $10.00 (median $6.63) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-05-14
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KOPN Kopin Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 26 of 100 | expensive | high |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 33 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | full | moderate |
19 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on achieving revenue growth as government operations and order flow normalize.
Leverage the $15 million strategic investment from Theon International for joint development of military products.
Why it matters: This investment could help Kopin grow its military products. It may also help the whole business.
Confirms:Look for news about new military products or partnerships from this investment.
Disproves:Watch for no news or progress on military products from this investment.
Why it matters: Any change in the dividend could signal management's confidence in future cash flow. It can also affect investor sentiment.
Confirms one read:Kopin announces an increase in its dividend payout.
Confirms the other:Kopin cuts or suspends its dividend payment.
Why it matters: Kopin's revenue fell significantly in Q1. A rebound would show progress in growth.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth exceeds $411,378, showing recovery from Q1's decline.
Disproves:Q2 revenue continues to decline or stays below $411,378.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 21, 2026, Kopin Corporation (the “Company”) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, the Company’s stockholders approved an amendment and restatement (the “Amendment”) of the Kopin Corporation 2020 Equity Incentive Plan (the “Plan”). The Company’s Board of Directors previously approved the A…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . Kopin Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release on May 12, 2026, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference, in which the Company announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 28, 2026. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as am…
Entry into a Definitive Material Agreement. Joint Development and License Agreement On April 27, 2026, Kopin Corporation, entered into a Joint Development and License Agreement (the “JDA”) with Fabric AI, Inc., pursuant to which Kopin and Fabric AI, Inc. agreed to collaborate on the development and commercialization of Kopin’s interface for GPU-to-GPU connectivity and will work together to develop a prototype and demonstration version of the Project Technology (as defined below) in accordance…
Regulation FD . On April 28, 2026, Kopin Corporation issued a press release announcing a strategic collaboration with Fabric.AI to jointly develop MicroLED-based optical interconnect technology intended to replace traditional copper wiring between GPUs and high-performance processors in AI data-center infrastructure. As disclosed in the release, Fabric.AI has placed an initial $15 million purchase order with Kopin to fund development of a demonstration chipset. The companies’ jointly develope…