Kopin Corp. (KOPN)

NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-23

$3.38+0.90%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Kopin Corp.’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

0.0%

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

0.00 → 0.00 EPS · FY ending Dec 27, 2027 · 5 analysts

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Sep 24, 2026 to Oct 24, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 5 to 5; this is not the number of analysts revising. Source: FMP consensus snapshots. The ±10% axis is a display range.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-12-27
Revenue	—	21.37M
EPS	—	0.004
Annual ending 2026-12-27
Revenue	—	60.61M
EPS	—	-0.02
Annual ending 2027-12-27
Revenue	—	79.51M
EPS	—	0.004

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Effective use of share buybacks	A supporting condition in Kopin Corp.'s published investment case. The stated target is Maintain or expand share repurchase program.	Intact	No further buybacks announced or buybacks halted	Buyback active vs halt target Kopin entered a Share Repurchase Agreement in June 2026, repurchasing and cancelling 36 million shares from affiliates. Context reviewed through Oct 23, 2026Last status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Reduce losses and improve EPS	A primary condition in Kopin Corp.'s published investment case. The stated target is EPS improves from -$0.05 to at least -$0.02.	Improving	EPS remains below -$0.05 in FY27	Diluted EPS: $0.00 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS improves from -$0.05 to at least -$0.02. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 11, 20260 USD/share · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 27, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: 0cc60b39-07a9-4014-94b5-41c498c28905. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Deliver meaningful revenue growth	A primary condition in Kopin Corp.'s published investment case. The stated target is >=12.6% YoY revenue growth.	Intact	YoY revenue growth falls below 12.6% in FY26	Revenue growth: 322.59% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=12.6% YoY revenue growth. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 11, 2026322.592938 percent · calculatedSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 27, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: 0cc60b39-07a9-4014-94b5-41c498c28905. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-27 · fmp

FY2027 EPS$0.00

Unavailable → $0.00 · observed estimates

FY2027 revenue$0.08B

Unavailable → $0.08B · observed estimates

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-07-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-08-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	4 / 4
2026-09-20	Unavailable	$79,854,667	4 / 5
2026-09-21	$0.00	$79,854,667	5 / 5
2026-09-22	$0.00	$79,854,667	5 / 5
2026-09-23	$0.00	$79,854,667	5 / 5
2026-09-24	$0.00	$79,854,667	5 / 5
2026-09-25	$0.00	$79,854,667	5 / 5
2026-09-26	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-09-27	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-09-28	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-09-29	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-09-30	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-01	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-02	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-03	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-04	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-05	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-06	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-07	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-08	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-09	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-10	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-11	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-12	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-13	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-14	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-15	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-16	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-17	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-18	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-19	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-20	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-21	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-22	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-23	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5
2026-10-24	$0.00	$79,505,571	5 / 5

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold	Sell*
2026-05-01	6	0	0
2026-06-01	6	0	0
2026-07-01	6	0	0
2026-08-01	6	0	0
2026-09-01	7	0	0
2026-10-01	7	0	0

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 7 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

○ Previous · ● Latest · common dollar scale

Stifel NicolausSep 25

$6.50New observation · no comparable prior

$0$3.58$7.15

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 1 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Reduce losses and improve EPSDiluted EPS: $0.00 per share
Deliver meaningful revenue growthRevenue growth: 322.59%

Next proof point

Nov 11, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

3.8%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-52.1%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

Kopin Corp. outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is a speculative growth story, not a proven compounder, because KOPN is loss-making and its management execution record is volatile. The thesis remains in a watch state, although its signal has shifted from cautious to mixed.

What's priced into Kopin Corp.

KOPN trades at a large premium to peers, and the valuation model has low confidence. The expectations gap is negative, which suggests the market’s expectations are demanding relative to the evidence; the premium appears tied to the possibility that its newer technologies and markets develop.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near term, results may remain uneven: KOPN missed its most recent quarter, and recent earnings surprises have been erratic, though the assessed miss risk is low. Over the multi-year view, MicroLED revenue progress and the Fabric.AI collaboration are constructive, while Sentinel FPV has early orders but volume production progress is still mixed.

What Kopin Corp. hinges on

The thesis depends on whether government MicroLED awards and the Fabric.AI development work lead to durable revenue, and whether Sentinel FPV reaches volume production. A guidance cut would be a meaningful negative; easier interest rates and continued strength among major technology companies could provide a favorable sector backdrop.