LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$8.10-2.53%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put LPTH beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electronic Components is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue grows at least 71% year over year to $19.1 million in Q3 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 87% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 61% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLPTH’s counter-drone optics orders support backlog growth, but revenue growth must persist despite weak recent performance. Revenue grew 73.8% year over year in fiscal Q4 2026, yet reported GAAP EPS missed consensus. LPTH trades at 8× sales versus a 4× peer median, near its 10× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite expectations looking modest. The next-quarter miss probability is 28%, and the latest reported quarter missed. The primary revenue pillar is under pressure, but its comparison needs review. Peer multiples imply a price about 77% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. LPTH is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering LPTH (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare LPTH with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPTH Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electronic Components — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put LPTH next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain and grow high order backlog
Secures significant order, enhancing order backlog.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Execute vertically integrated growth strategy
Defense pivot indicates growth in a strategic market.
Advances: Execute vertically integrated growth strategy
Record revenue supports growth strategy and backlog maintenance.
Advances: Maintain and grow high order backlog
Higher CapEx signals commitment to growing order backlog.
Advances: Execute vertically integrated growth strategy
Broadening scope supports growth strategy and supply chain importance.
