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Track GLW free→Corning Inc. (GLW)
NYSEInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Intact
$177.51-5.52%
Close 2026-06-16 · 1-day change
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
The bottom line
Recent financial performance is strong. Earnings quality and management's track record are neutral. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Compared with sector peers, GLW is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 116% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This is because it is rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. If GLW cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative.
as of 2026-06-16
Quick facts
- Exchange
- NYSE
- Sector
- Information Technology
- Industry
- Electronic Components
- Market cap
- $154.23B
- Employees
- 67,200
- IPO date
- 1994-03-18
- Next earnings
- —
Price
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Adjusted daily closes (split & dividend). Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event
What's priced in
(what the market already expects)What it's worth (estimated)
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $177.51. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
12-month· primaryexpensive
$82.10consensus
Range $67.83 – $125.80
vs price: +116% above
Method agreement — · 6 methods
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
3-yearfair
$195.93consensus
Range $192.46 – $294.05
vs price: -9% below
Method agreement — · 5 methods
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
5-yearinexpensive
How much to trust our fair value
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
Re-ratinglow confidence
At $188 GLW trades at 70× p/e — 2.3× the 30× p/e peer median, and above its own 23× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $82 fair value is low-confidence here. Analysts: $127–$228. Not investment advice.
Multiple (P/E)
69.9x
peer 30.2x · own history 23.4x
Premium
2.3x peer
3.0x its own history
Growth the price needs
130%
our forecast 11%
Our fair value
$81.83
range $67.48 – $132.13
Analyst range(a guide on our number, not a target)Our number is below the analyst range
How this stock is priced
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
expensiveexpensive — growth-justified12-month view
What's priced inUnjustified
The market is pricing in roughly 130% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Elevated fragilityrisk posture, not a price call
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
Historical context
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
How strong is the business
(quality & execution)Factor signals
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Recent financial performance
strongOperating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated strong grew net income 73% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
77th pctl · Information Technology
Earnings quality
neutralOver the trailing year it converted 1.61x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 62% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2831).
51st pctl · Information Technology
Macro sensitivity
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
- the broad stock market: This stock moves with the broad market (high beta).
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
Management & capital allocation
neutralEarnings setup & market context
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
Neutral12 analysts, 59% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions
EPS estimate $0.76 → $0.75 (-0.5% / 30d). 2 raised, 4 cut, 12 covering analysts.
Rating actions
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 59% of analysts rate Buy.
Price target activity
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 15.2% above current price.
Sector context
Intermediate · WeeklySector phase: information technology is in maturing, with decelerating (~0.2 years in phase).
Sector regime (90d momentum): tailwind.Secular epoch: by revenue growth.Management scorecard
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
Overall: strong
- Capital allocation
- strong
- Earnings discipline
- strong
- Margin discipline
- strong
- Balance sheet
- neutral
- Guidance credibility
- strong
How bumpy is the path
(risk while you hold it)Risk: how this stock moves
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
Intermediate · WeeklyLong-term · 1–3 yr
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$301.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$638.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,301.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
elevatedas of 2026-06-16
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
What would change the read
(catalysts & re-read triggers)What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Short-term · Daily
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
What to watch next
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Long-term · 1–3 yr
- UpsideHigh confidenceMonthsactive 4d
Watch for Corning's news on increasing U.S. optical connectivity.
Why it matters: If they announce a 10x capacity increase, it shows strong support for AI.
What confirms / what disproves
Confirms:A press release confirming the start of construction on three new manufacturing plants.
Disproves:No news or delays in the capacity plan could be a problem.
Management priorities
News catalysts
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
- 2026-06-151d agoYahoo! Finance
Advances: Expand U.S. optical connectivity capacity 10x
Amazon deal supports optical connectivity capacity expansion.
Strongly reinforcesUnconfirmed report
This sector is also watching
- Watch for revenue growth in IT sector dropping below median
- Watch for FOMC decisions impacting tech investment
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Intermediate · Weekly
Upside triggers
- If the Fed starts cutting rates from the current 3.62%, that would be a tailwind for GLW and other Tech names, since rate-sensitive parts of the market tend to rally when the Fed eases.
- If sector bellwethers like APH, TEL, and FLEX keep beating earnings and guiding higher, the Tech sector momentum should keep lifting GLW and other Tech names. Worth watching these names for early signals.
- If GLW raises forward guidance on the next earnings call (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28), that's a momentum boost. Street estimates typically follow guidance up and the stock tends to re-rate higher.
Downside triggers
- If GLW cuts guidance on the next call (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28), that's a meaningful negative. The Street tends to walk down estimates and the stock usually takes a leg lower.
- If sector bellwethers like APH, TEL, and FLEX start missing or guiding lower, the Tech tailwind helping GLW and other Tech names could fade. Watch these names for early warning.
Recent events
(material 8-K / filing activity)Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-281mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition The Corning Incorporated press release dated April 28, 2026 regarding its financial results for the first-quarter ended March 31, 2026 is attached hereto as Exhibi t 9 9 .1 . The comparative segment information included within Exhibit 99. 2 has been recast to conform to the changes in our segment reporting and as detailed within
Earnings preannouncementneutral
Score history
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
+1.7 vs last weeklatest as of 2026-06-17
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.