Reading OPTX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track OPTX free→Reading OPTX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track OPTX free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Compared with sector peers, OPTX trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 34% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $11.38. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $11 OPTX trades at 10× p/s — 2.6× the 4× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $17 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 34% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.28x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$690.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,197.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,675.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'fair' to 'inexpensive'.
Valuation changed. It rose to "inexpensive" from "fair." Risk remained high. Earnings quality is still loss-making.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Advances: Enhance cash flow from operations
Liquidity concerns alleviated, supporting cash flow objectives.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 28, 2026, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “ Underwriting Agreement ”) with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC (the “ Representative ”), as the representative of the underwriters named therein (the “ Underwriters ”), relating to an underwritten public offering (the “ Offering ”) of 2,857,142 shares (the “ Shares ”) of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (“ Common Stock ”)…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
OPTX SYNTEC OPTICS HOLDINGS INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 30 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Focus on revenue growth by forming strategic partnerships and agreements.
Focus on improving operating income through cost management and efficiency.
Focus on enhancing cash flow from operations through improved operational efficiency.
Threatens: Increase revenue through strategic partnerships
Revenue dip indicates challenges in growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue through strategic partnerships
New product delivery supports growth through partnerships.
Threatens: Improve operating income
Reported loss amid revenue decline threatens operating income.
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant On November 1, 2024, CBIZ CPA’s P.C. acquired the attest business of Marcum LLP (“Marcum”). On October 10, 2025, Marcum informed Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) and as the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors approved, that Marcum resigned as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. Neither of Marcum’s reports on the consolidated financial statements of the Company for either of the past two fiscal years ended…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 6, 2025, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024, first quarter ended March 31, 2025, and second quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, is furnished under this
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously disclosed by Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”), Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, and the Quarterly 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2025 and June 30, 2025 have been delayed in their release and a NASDAQ exception will be allowed for a maximum of 180 days, or until October 13, 2025. The Company’s auditors have substantially completed their pro…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously disclosed on September 16, 2025, Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) is delayed in filing its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2025 and June 30, 2025. NASDAQ exception will be allowed to enable the Company to regain compliance with all delinquent filings, but on…