Orion Energy Systems Inc (OESX)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$20.39+1.98%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put OESX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electrical Components & Equipment is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 45% growth a year, above the roughly 13% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 53% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskOESX’s growth and profitability improvement depends on continued expansion through fiscal 2026 and 2027. Revenue growth accelerated from 23% to 32%; the latest quarter beat. OESX trades at 53× P/E versus a 35× peer median. Expectations look full because the market prices in more growth than our forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 56%. The elevated valuation faces premium compression if growth fails to support the peer gap. Peer multiples imply a price about 45% below where it trades. Our read remains intact; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. OESX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering OESX (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare OESX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OESX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electrical Components & Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put OESX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase growth and profitability in fiscal 2026 and 2027
Raising guidance indicates growth and profitability improvement.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase growth and profitability in fiscal 2026 and 2027
Reaffirming outlook supports growth and profitability objectives.
Advances: Increase growth and profitability in fiscal 2026 and 2027
Strong revenue growth supports profitability objectives for fiscal 2027.
Advances: Increase growth and profitability in fiscal 2026 and 2027
Revenue surge supports growth and profitability objectives.
Advances: Increase FY 2026 revenue outlook to $84M-$86M
Earnings call confirms revenue growth trajectory.
Advances: Increase FY 2026 revenue outlook to $84M-$86M
Record growth reported supports revenue outlook.
Advances: Achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in FY 2027
Narrower loss and improved margins support profitability goal.
